Announcing a brand new version of SwongSim brought to you by
SmartSpin™, now with
EV Chip Mode.
The fundamental use of SwongSim has been to illustrate the expected swings in spins, given a payout structure and player finish distribution. This is useful in determining things like bankroll management and perhaps which games to play.
For Spins, the win rate (finish distribution) is determined by the number of chips won on average. For this reason, we convert expected chips won per game into win rate and use that as input to SwongSim. One issue with this is knowing how reliable it is to use our reported EV chips won per game on a given sample (from PT4, for example). You see, even reported EV chips per game will have swings since it does not exclude all possible luck factors.
This new version of SwongSim includes an EV Chip mode where we can study swings in expected chips, given a specified EV chips per game and a standard deviation. With this we can ask questions like, if I have an expected chips won of 40 per game over a sample of 2000 games, how likely is it that my true EV chips per game is less than 30? To answer, we simulate 30 chips per game and see how often we end up with a 40 EV chips result (about 10% of the time, as seen in the image below, assuming a 400 chip standard deviation).
Here is the download link:
www.dropbox.com/s/ukpadqy24se12th/SwongSim.exe?dl=0
- Added a new EV chip mode to simulate swings in expected chips.
- Added option to specify the number of threads to use (from 1 up to the number of cores your CPU has minus one). This can reduce CPU load or speed up computation, depending on the setting.
I would like to thank Smart Spin for their support in bringing this new feature to SwongSim as well as more that are in the works for 2016. Check out their 2+2 staking thread:
forumserver.twoplustwo.com/222/staking-offering-stakes/smartspin-biggest-most-futuristic-spinngo-poker-team-1513469/