Quote:
Originally Posted by Des_Astar
PT4 already calculates "c net adjusted" in dollars and "ROI adjusted"
On Monday, Spin & Gos were being detected as 4-max and the adjusted line was equal to the actual winnings line. But, after the tournament detection rules were auto-updated, they started being detected as 3-max, and the EV line became non-trivial.
However, it does take into account the size of the actual prize pool when it's known (i.e. when Hero has finished in the 1st or 2nd place); only if Hero has finished 3rd, and hence the actual prize pool is unknown, PT4 assumes it was average (3 BIs minus rake).
E.g. if you lose a 50/25/25 flip in a $750 Spin & Go for all the 1500 chips and finish 3rd, PT4 will tell that you've gone merely $43.2 below EV because there will be no way to tell from the recorded HH file that the tourney was for $750 and PT4 will deem the prize pool equal to its average, $86.4.
But if you win this flip, PT4 will tell that you've gone $375 above EV because the first place prize will be known from the HH. Likewise, if win a flip for the prize of $60, PT4 will say that you've gone $30 over EV. So this way of evaluation of the EV difference is unbiased because, even for 120+ BI prizepools, PT4 shouldn't take into account the prize pool info even if the player finishes 3rd*.
So the money EV line is still not the best approximation to the expected (ITM-based) winnings, and you should use the chip graph instead.
* While there's no dealmaking facility, the prize pool can be retrieved as 12x of the 3rd place prize if it's more than zero. However, when deals are enabled, there will be no reliable way to retrieve the prize pool if Hero finishes 3rd because, e.g., Hero can get $600 either as a prize in a 240x $30 tourney with no deal or as a prize in a 120x tourney as per a chop deal that was made when Hero had 250 chips.
Last edited by coon74; 10-03-2014 at 07:07 PM.