hm for me the link works. it is page 23 last 2 posts
http://www.pokericmcalculator.com/icmizer/#WTSn
i never know what to do in such spots. thats why i asked for future game.
going allin does cost 0.9 % of the pricepool? sick
should i wait for the bb? what do you suggest ty
your answer:
Well you clearly want to take a negative EV (single hand analysis) shove in spot like this. Playing only +EV would be a mistake when your stack is as shallow as 2BB like here.
Check your EV fold, its 8.83%. EV of 98s shove is -0.9%, but next hand BB hitting you will roughly take away half of your equity, if you choose to fold (you cant fold, but it should make sense what I am talking about). So I would assume that open shoving at least -1% EV would be a smart move in such spot.
Like this
http://www.pokericmcalculator.com/icmizer/#LwYJ
Maybe more, but of-course you open up your shoving range once you get to this spot. Next hand you are commited with ATC to call against anyone.
Think about next hand. Once you post blind you will have to call a shove with ATC against anyone, so immediate thought without any analysis is that if you shove top 25% hands now you will be making a smart tournament move.
Correct shortstacked plays from early positions do affect your ROI. However generally your equity is quite slim once you get in this stage, and even playing super great won't likely turn your 2BB stack in a lot of cash. Correct push/fold plays as big and medium stack will guarantee you pretty solid foundation for being a +EV player. Then you can polish less important spots, like short stack play in hands like this.
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so you suggested on page 23 to set a large negative edge, so that 98s is pushable.
but with FGS it is still a fold. so i am interested whats the conclusion now. ty