Quote:
Originally Posted by scylla
Hi Trevor,
No, it's not a bug.
66 on for instance a 225 board is counted as better than 2 pair.
This is because, let's say, at a river of 22598 and you hold TT, you're beating 98, 95 and 85.
Cheers,
Scylla
TY very much for this reply. It makes a lot of sense.
Can you please explain how the STOP instruction works? Or better still please explain what I am doing wrong here.
I set up a HU situation where I raised 60% and limped 40% OTB. the BB's response was to raise both of these actions 11.5%, fold 50% when I raised and check/called the others.
My response was to fold to all raises.
This gets us to the flop when he calls my raise or checks behind my limp but all other hands end preflop.
I wanted to assume that the ones that got to the flop were breakeven (at worst) so I was not interested in the results from that point so I added a STOP.
When I make EV runs the % of hands at each action point is as expected and if I toggle absolute/relative that works as well. Using the relative values, I get:-
a) he folds 29.9%
b) he re-raises me 6.79%
c) he raises my limp 4.79%
The EV for those is:-
1.5*29.9% - 2.5*6.79% - 0.5*4.79% = +0.2547
However the $ is shown as -0.50 which is amount lost on the hand assuming NO action had taken place. However, if no action had taken place because I folded every button my EV would have been zero not -0.5.
If I alter the tree to have me raise 60%; fold 40% and have him raise his 11.5% and fold the rest the EV calcualtion in this case when every hand ends preflop is as I expected.
If I revert to the oirginal tree but replace STOP with "DELETE" the relative % are correct when measured against the hands that are not deleted. For example, in the case described above 41.5% of all hands end preflop and as all the others are deleted, the 11.5% RR of my raise occurs (60*11.5%)/41.5 = 16.7% which agrees with the relative numbers on the tree.
However, the EV is calculated using these
relative numbers and we end up with a +EV of 0.61 which is higher than (what I think is) the true EV of 0.2547
as shown above.
If we take the 0.61 and multiply it by the 41.5% of the time the "non deleted" runs occur we get the "right" answer - well near enough
OK, long I know but...., what am I doing wrong and how can I get it to give me the "right" answer?
I "think" that what "delete" tells me currently is that
when it ends preflop my average EV is 0.61 and I think that is true. However, over
all hands, if the ones that see the flop
are neutral EV, the strategy makes me 0.25 per
hand. How do I get that?
Cheers
Trevor
PS - Having looked at this program more I am even
more impressed if that is possible.