Quote:
Originally Posted by stumbras
Thanks, I do have GTO+ but it requires setting up trees and long solving and I was looking for quick approximation fro realised equity and maybe Hotness will work
It's relatively easy and fast to acquire this data from GTO+, whereas it's very cumbersome and inaccurate to acquire from any equity based calculations. What's most important here, is the fact that equity based calculations are inaccurate for these purposes, whereas GTO calculations have pinpoint accuracy, with almost no effort being required.
It's not necessary to build an overly complex tree for this.
Both a basic tree and a complex tree will lead to nearly identical EV results.
To acquire this data from GTO+:
1) Enter range 1
2) Enter range 2
3) Enter the flop
4) Go to "Build tree", use the "Basic" tab and just build a standard tree, with the recommended number of bets
5) Run the solver
6) Go to the first decision
7) Click on the "Graph" button (below the table)
8) Plot EV versus equity
See the screenshot below.
For simplicity I have set up the starting pot as being 100.
For example, we can see that A3o has an equity of 51%, while its EV is only 35 (out of the pot of 100).
So in this spot A3o has reverse implied odds (it performs worse than you would expect based on its equity).
This can also be seen, because its dot in the graph is below the dotted blue line, which represents what the EV would have been, if purely based on checkdown equity.
Whereas a hand like Jc8c has an EV of 84, while its equity is only 54%, giving it implied odds.
No matter how much effort is done with an equity based calculator, it's not possible to manually obtain data with this level of accuracy.
Last edited by scylla; 12-18-2021 at 07:16 AM.