Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
I think this is a bit of an oversimplification. In many spots betting all the hands that don't have showdown value will mean drastically overbluffing because our value range is too narrow. In that case we have to be very careful with which hands we continue betting with and the solver is definitely giving up with air a pretty significant portion of the time from what I've seen. It would just be interesting to quickly look at which of your big draws that missed happen to be suitable combos to bluff with and which are not and try to understand why. That's one of the spots where solvers shine, imo.
I did not mean that you should always bet your air. On the river, it doesn't matter what draw value a hand had previously. A 6 high flush+OESD draw on the turn is simply 6 high on the river when it misses. It's more of a human emotion to still think of it as a draw. What you need to look at on the river is showdown value of your hand. Given that 6 high has almost no chance of winning, it's a
candidate for bluffing (that doesn't mean to bluff it all the time; just that it's a candidate). An A high missed flushdraw on the other hand is probably better placed in the checking range, given that it has a chance of winning in a showdown. So, when composing your ranges, the leading factor in deciding where to place your bluffs is a hand's showdown value. If you need to bluff 20% of the time, then the bluffs should first and foremost be chosen from the non-showdown part of your range that has almost 0% equity anyhow. Betting will be the only way for those hands to still have a chance to win.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
It would just be interesting to quickly look at which of your big draws that missed happen to be suitable combos to bluff with and which are not and try to understand why.
The selection will be due to showdown value and to a lesser extent card removal. The solver is a mathematical algorithm. It doesn't know that the hand was a draw in the past. Even moreso, it doesn't even know what a draw is. That being said, we can consider adding past draws to the list if that's what you're looking for.
Last edited by scylla; 06-27-2018 at 04:55 AM.