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Old 10-30-2010, 03:23 AM   #2301
sorrow
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by vyk07 View Post


Not only did she just finally get her 1st confession in episode 7, but her fine ass has been noticeably absent from each episode

edit: she does have Natalie's mold, but she is severely lacking her presence
Even more noticable, they have been to tribal two weeks in a row and we haven't heard a word or seen a reaction shot from Invisible Kelly.

I'm not sure what everybody is smoking with Benry. I agree with Kos that hes in a decent spot and _should_ lead the split in the young group post merge, but nothing we've seen indicates that he will - we've had no interviews and very few memorable scenes with him except 'Benrys here, baby'. I think his best chance is an immunity run allowing him to become the leader of the counter - probably with... Marty + Jud?, Holly, Dan and Alina.

Given the paucity of real winning candidates, I can see why hes in the top 5 - but second?
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Old 10-30-2010, 04:14 AM   #2302
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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I like Fabio as #5 on power rankings over Marty who deserves no praise so far.
Who the hell is Judd? (fyp)



A poor man's Natalie 2.0 anyone? Maybe he will somehow end up in the finals, next to the "feckless" PK/Holly/Jane (Mick) and the "mean" Brenda/Sash/Marty (Russ) somehow?
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Old 10-30-2010, 04:14 AM   #2303
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by vyk07 View Post
wat

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Originally Posted by bobboufl11 View Post
MOAR Purple Kelly!
POTT

How many people pause/slow-mo'ed/fapped to the Purple Kelly/Brenda 1-2 ass shot combination?
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Old 10-30-2010, 07:49 AM   #2304
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

f3 shaping up nicely to be naonka/dan/random
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Old 10-30-2010, 11:47 AM   #2305
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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f3 shaping up nicely to be naonka/dan/random
analysis of jury voting breakdown for that f3?

im thinking the random will rack up plenty of sympathy votes
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Old 10-30-2010, 11:56 AM   #2306
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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I'm not sure what everybody is smoking with Benry. I agree with Kos that hes in a decent spot and _should_ lead the split in the young group post merge, but nothing we've seen indicates that he will - we've had no interviews and very few memorable scenes with him except 'Benrys here, baby'. I think his best chance is an immunity run allowing him to become the leader of the counter - probably with... Marty + Jud?, Holly, Dan and Alina.

Given the paucity of real winning candidates, I can see why hes in the top 5 - but second?
Again, if we can't project, wouldn't we just be listing the main alliance by pecking order? Wouldn't we be listing Purple Kelly ahead of everyone but Sash, Brenda, Chase, and NaOnka?

I also think people are overrating the "memorable scenes" thing. Winners rarely have more than one memorable moment pre-merge, as a lot of it is reserved for the major TV personalities and the pre-merge boots. The only memorable pre-merge moment I can think of out of the last four winners is JT losing his tooth, and that shouldn't even count. Plus, "Benry's here, baby!" is an absolutely outstanding quote, and he even knocked over the paperweight for good measure. That's classic.
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Old 10-30-2010, 03:04 PM   #2307
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

I think Benry has revealed himself to be by far the best in challenges and I think the others will try to vote him off sooner rather than later.
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Old 10-30-2010, 04:27 PM   #2308
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by vyk07 View Post
analysis of jury voting breakdown for that f3?

im thinking the random will rack up plenty of sympathy votes
random should get all the votes but jurys do weird stuff so hard to tell
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Old 10-30-2010, 04:40 PM   #2309
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

Marty giving away the idol was ******ed. I don't see what benefit it possibly gave him.

He is at risk of being voted out, he empowers the other people, and if he's not voted out that TC, he'll be voted out the next.

Pretty sure he could've told Fabio who to vote for and promise him the idol after TC. If he knows the votes are going to be 3-2 he could have Fabio vote Jill, and vote Jill himself thus sticking around, and not even using the idol. I know he didn't want to vote Jill, but she was going home anyways.

Even if he can't concoct some master plan, he should just use the idol instead of giving it away. If he uses it, that increases the chances another one will be put in play, thus perhaps having him find it. If it just stays in Sash's pocket unlikely another one will be hidden.
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Old 10-30-2010, 05:42 PM   #2310
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

At last week's TC, what if Marty had told Kelly B. that he'd give her the idol before TC if she'd vote for Brenda (or whoever she wants to vote for)? If she flips her vote, it becomes 3 on Brenda, 3 on KB, 2 on Marty. KB uses the idol, Brenda goes home, easy game. He's obviously taking a risk doing this, but he has to take a risk to stay in the game. If KB is not in fact the sacrificial lamb, then the vote is between Brenda and Jane/Fabio. At that point they can force a tie and draw rocks, which is obviously scary but which leads to the same outcome if it's Marty (since he'd be going home one of the next two weeks anyway) and a much better outcome if it's Brenda/Sash/KP. This is assuming the worst-case scenario, which is that they don't manage to draw Fabio in. If Marty and Jill go up to him and KB at the same time and hand her the idol, it's a clear signal to Fabio that Marty is willing to put his neck on the line for his alliance. Also, Fabio has no incentive to run back and tell Brendash, because then (as Marty can point out to him) they'll make him the sacrificial lamb instead!

As played, he could've told Fabio the same thing this week: I'll give you the idol before TC in return for you voting Brenda (or whoever), the vote is 2 on Marty, 2 on Jill and 3 on Brenda. Brenda goes and now they're 3-3 with an idol.

I mean, if you're going to give away an idol you may as well do it properly right?

Kos/Soncy/kart/others: what do you think of the idea that Brenda should target Sash at F12 (next week)?
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Old 10-30-2010, 06:09 PM   #2311
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

the problem with all these plans is i dont think marty knows kelly b is on the outs. which is the main mistake. guess he shouldve felt the tribe out more. also kelly b didnt rly kno i guess or was too dumb to do something.
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Old 10-30-2010, 06:27 PM   #2312
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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the problem with all these plans is i dont think marty knows kelly b is on the outs. which is the main mistake. guess he shouldve felt the tribe out more. also kelly b didnt rly kno i guess or was too dumb to do something.
Yeah, exactly. If they knew KB was on the outs, Marty and Jill would have tried to swing her instead of Jane and Fabio. Brenda and Sash have made some mistakes, but you have to give them credit for making KB feel like a part of their alliance, as it kept her from flipping.

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Kos/Soncy/kart/others: what do you think of the idea that Brenda should target Sash at F12 (next week)?
I don't think it's a good idea. There are too many people left in the game to abandon the alliance she has right now. In Brenda's shoes, I would be targeting Benry, Marty, and Alina right off the bat. The time to go after Sash is either F9 or F7 imo (depending on how many people are tighter with her over Sash).
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Old 10-30-2010, 11:43 PM   #2313
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by Neurotoxin View Post
I think Benry has revealed himself to be by far the best in challenges and I think the others will try to vote him off sooner rather than later.
Agreed. I mean if we are predicting something why not this ^? It's standard post merge behavior. Sash has a secret scene where he is already hoping that people will be leaning this way. Everyone seems to be in love with having Dan around because the dude can't even walk. Why wouldn't the converse hold true?

Plus, I feel like Benry is going to be in real danger of thinking he's in an okay spot and might fail to realize that he needs to start mustering up a counter alliance until it's too late. I mean, he kind of already did this. He should have been cozying up to Greys after the tribe switch and instead he was voting them out which probably benefitted Naonka and Chase more than himself and Alina.
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Old 10-30-2010, 11:52 PM   #2314
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

dan luckboxed his way to the merge, assuming they actually do merge as per preview, and should not be voted out for the remainder of the game. no way he'd win the million and in no way would he win a challenge, lol
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Old 10-31-2010, 12:04 AM   #2315
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by SavageTilt View Post
Kos/Soncy/kart/others: what do you think of the idea that Brenda should target Sash at F12 (next week)?
My gut reaction is no. I think there are too many votes floating around that Brenda doesn't control to start canabalizing so soon. They should whittle things down a bit. Also, I feel like she would run the risk of re-exposing herself as the dangerous target for others to shoot at. Let Sash be that guy for while. Besides, going to the end with Sash is viable option for Brenda unless she's going to Amanda herself at FTC. I'd be looking to get rid of people who aren't looking to work with me (Marty/Alina), or people with whom I had no intention whatsoever to get to the end of the game against--like Benry and later on, Chase. After he's been used to advance Brenda's game, of course.
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Old 10-31-2010, 12:16 AM   #2316
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones View Post
How many people pause/slow-mo'ed/fapped to the Purple Kelly/Brenda 1-2 ass shot combination?
Probably not as many who paused there screen to see that doctors dick a few seasons ago!!! lol

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Originally Posted by SavageTilt View Post
At that point they can force a tie and draw rocks, which is obviously scary but which leads to the same outcome if it's Marty (since he'd be going home one of the next two weeks anyway)
Same outcome? The reason why people don't go to ties is because ANYONE on that tribe, other then the immunity holder I believe can go home with it. There is a strong chance that Marty would not pull the purple rock.

Quote:
Kos/Soncy/kart/others: what do you think of the idea that Brenda should target Sash at F12 (next week)?
This was going to likely happen sooner or later. To many type A personalities in that big alliance to with stand someone not turning on someone for a easier opponent at final two, or three.
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Old 10-31-2010, 12:24 AM   #2317
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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How many people pause/slow-mo'ed/fapped to the Purple Kelly/Brenda 1-2 ass shot combination?
gif?
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Old 10-31-2010, 12:35 AM   #2318
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

btw, my power rankings:

1. chase
2. holly
3. jane
4. brenda
5. alina

these are the correct rankings
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Old 10-31-2010, 12:44 AM   #2319
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

Of the people on the island here is my ranking of the best players;

1) cameraman one
2) The guy who builds the sets
3) The guy who buys the chickens
4) Jeff Probst
5) Jeff Probst's hair stylist
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Old 10-31-2010, 01:01 AM   #2320
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by Clovis8 View Post
Of the people on the island here is my ranking of the best players;

1) cameraman one
2) The guy who builds the sets
3) The guy who buys the chickens
4) Jeff Probst
5) Jeff Probst's hair stylist
I like your list Clovis, and I think it is the most accurate one out there! lol One of the dumbest groups to ever appear on Survivor!
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Old 10-31-2010, 02:07 AM   #2321
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by SavageTilt View Post
Kos/Soncy/kart/others: what do you think of the idea that Brenda should target Sash at F12 (next week)?
She definitely doesn't want to be in the final 3 with him, but it seems like she can completely trust him. He doesn't strike me as someone who would turn on his alliance. I think he thinks he can just win vs anyone, so why backstab. He kept his word to Marty for very little gain, so I see no reason for Brenda to ditch him yet.
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Old 10-31-2010, 02:09 AM   #2322
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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He doesn't strike me as someone who would turn on his alliance.
I think there is much more to his decision to do that for Marty then that.
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Old 10-31-2010, 03:15 AM   #2323
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Agreed. I mean if we are predicting something why not this ^? It's standard post merge behavior. Sash has a secret scene where he is already hoping that people will be leaning this way. Everyone seems to be in love with having Dan around because the dude can't even walk. Why wouldn't the converse hold true?
Because they're going to want Benry out anyway. When the kids turn on each other, either Benry or Alina will almost certainly be the first target. In a weird way, though, that's almost a good thing for Benry, as it gives him more incentive to flip on them first.

I guess I should clarify: I think Benry is either headed for an early backstab (out 11th/12th) or a very deep run (5th or better). He's the definition of a boom-or-bust pick right now imo. Sash and Brenda, on the other hand, could easily finish in any of the 12 spots (other than 3rd, I would assume).
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Old 10-31-2010, 04:41 AM   #2324
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

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Originally Posted by Kos13 View Post
Again, if we can't project, wouldn't we just be listing the main alliance by pecking order? Wouldn't we be listing Purple Kelly ahead of everyone but Sash, Brenda, Chase, and NaOnka?
I was agreeing with you Just disagreeing with Benry being second
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Old 10-31-2010, 06:36 AM   #2325
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Re: Survivor: Nicaragua

Quote:
Originally Posted by Clovis8 View Post
Of the people on the island here is my ranking of the best players;

1) cameraman one
2) The guy who builds the sets
3) The guy who buys the chickens
4) Jeff Probst
5) Jeff Probst's hair stylist
yawn
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