Ok I was down to one table on the night so I put together where I think the votes stand if it gets to FTC. Bolded are the ones I'm >75% sure of.
Kenzie has a better shot than I was thinking. She definitely has Tiff. I think she has Venus. If Ben or Liz lose at fire, I think she gets their vote. That leaves one vote and she's at worst going to tie. Can she swing one of Tevi/Hunter/Soda?!
Weirdly, Charlie's best bet may be to take Maria. I think he's solidly over her with Q, Tiff, and Kenzie. I think after last night, it's easier for get him to get two more of vs Maria than Kenzie.
Still think it's Charlies game to lose even vs Kenzie, but it's tighter than my gut was saying.