Quote:
Originally Posted by j555
The 2nd all in bet by Alex was the worst I've ever seen in the history of the show. He did not need to do that. Bet small and coast to a win. He bet like he was down by 40k. And now we're stuck with cocky Colby for another week. And how did none of them get General Eisenhower 1952? That was an easy one for supposed All Stars.
Most are forgetting that Alex collected a lot of the remaining money after that miss thereby skewing what people think was needed for a lock. Had he answered the DD correctly, it was still possible that would not have been enough for the lock, although it was probable.
So let's ask ourselves, what are his odds on a 4th row clue of answering correctly? Most estimates I've seen are between 2 in 3 and 3 in 4 and I agree with those numbers. So that means with wagering everything he gives his team a 70% chance of victory. Do you think other wagers show higher winning chances?
I'm not going to state with absolute certainty that his wager was optimal, the math gets very muddy for sure. But I know without question it wasn't a bad wager.
We are not stuck with Colby for another week, rather two more days.
Sure, like others, I was surprised FJ was a TS. But sometimes any player can simply blank on a question, this isn't multiple choice after all. And this one had two pieces, who the President was, then what year was he (first) elected.
So I'd cut the contestants a little slack when playing for a million dollars under stage lights in front of millions of viewers while wearing makeup.