Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
You're B. Do you shove so you can get the win, or bet 0 to lock up the wildcard? (in before it depends on the category)
Shoving is definitely not ideal because it doesn’t matter if you win with 24002 or 25000. If you miss, a total of 5499 gives you a slightly better chance of making it as the third wildcard than 5000.
I would go for the win because our two game performance so far doesn’t leave me very optimistic that we have a good shot at winning the wildcard round.
Unless we really hate the category, our chances to get FJ right have to be significantly higher than our chances to advance from the wild card round which is only 33% even if we think we’re even money there.