Don't watch the show any more (no longer think I'd do well), don't follow the thread...but I just caught a rerun from 2017 ToC, and thought I saw an Idiotic Jeopardy wager. I searched all over the internet to make sure I wasn't crazy, and came up empty.
I should have just started here. You guys were ON it. Thanks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by madlex
That must have been one of the worst final jeopardy wagers of all time. Has there ever been a ToC where 16000 didn't get you a wild card? The chances of that to happen have to be <5%. If anything, bet something like 1000 max..
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaddy
Definitely one of worst wagers ever. Wasn't from someone on for the first time. Was a guy who somehow won 4+ games. No reason to bet 7k. Likely wouldn't win the game to get it right, and he can't think he needs 23k to get a wild card. Can't think 9k would be enough to get you the wild card. I suppose there's an outside chance it would be enough. As you said, guy can bet a grand if he wants but there's really no reason to bet anything.
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
Voss that was very bone headed. Is there any data that shows ToC wildcards fare much worse than qualifying winners? The only way it's acceptable is if he decides chance of winning qualifier + chance of elimination has more ToC EV than 'guaranteed' qualification as a wild card.
Quote:
Originally Posted by danspartan
I think you are confusing cause and effect here unless there is some slight seeding advantage (Not sure how they slot the semi-finals).
Can't find it right now, but I think the typical cutoff point is in the 12K range and getting over 14 or 15K is close to a like (>90%).
Wild Cards
1. Pranjal Vachaspati: $15,000+$1,401=$16,401 (Game 1)
2. Austin Rogers: $8,000+$8,000=$16,000 (Game 3)
3. Lilly Chin: $12,800-$800=$12,000 (Game 2)
4. Tim Aten: $14,000-$2,500=$11,500 (Game 2)
5. Justin Vossler: $16,000-$7,000=$9,000 (Game 5)
6. Sam Deutsch: $12,400-$4,200=8200 (Game 4)
7. Seth Wilson: $9,900-$4,501=$5,399 (Game 4)
8. Hunter Appler: $1,400+$0=$1,400 (Game 1)
9. David Clemmons: $1,400-$1,400=$0 (Game 3)
10. Jon Eisenman: $3,800-3,800=$0 (Game 5)