BIG BROTHER CANADA SEASON 7

I’m ridiculously excited to follow this season. We have a former POGer/2p2er in the cast this year! Haven’t watched BB since the Canadian season 7, are there still as many BB fans in OOTV as there used to be?

Cast Breakdown

Anthony


Pre-game Equity: 3%

This guy isn’t going to play a particularly strategic game, but who he ends up aligning with is going to shift equity a lot. He’ll most likely try too hard, win a couple early comps, be dragged into the mid game, and need to win out to survive.

Samantha


Pre-game Equity: 5%

Poor liar, while being really loud and belligerent. If the cast makeup is lucky for her she might fall into a power position that she can’t misplay, but odds are she pisses people off and is out by week 4.

Mark


Pre-game Equity: 18%

OK I’m biased here. This is my best friend, we’ve known each other since kindergarten. I flew from NY to his place in late 2012 to grind out supernova in Canada, and convinced him to go to the season 1 auditions. I was super hungover that morning, so he went alone, and 6 years later he’s on the show!

I’ve spent the time between training him in Big Brother strategy, so in a sense this season will be a test of POG vs the real world. There’s probably at least a 50% chance he is downright awful at the game, but if he does well I expect it to be masterful.

Laura


Pre-game Equity: <1%

Seems like they cast this person explicitly to bring early drama.

Kyra


Pre-game Equity: 13%

If BB is as ‘rigged’ as it used to be they will be getting a big leg up for being non-binary, this is going to be massive publicity among a group that probably doesn’t watch the show. Beyond that, expect a reasonable game, maybe a floater, maybe a decent strategy game. If they do have the combination of likeable, strategic, and good story they’re going to be a big target in the endgame.

Damien


Pre-game Equity: 5%

Could be a strong player, with a competitive background, doesn’t seem like a threat, and reasonably stable. Doesn’t seem likely to turn up the gears to fight through the mid game unless he’s picked up as a tag along in the major alliance.

Estefania


Pre-game Equity: 3%

Super hot floater

Eddie


Pre-game Equity: 4%

If he wins he plans on putting all the money in BTC! Can’t be a good indicator of intelligence but I’ll root for him to have at least bring some strategy. Seems like he’ll be too tough to trust to make it through.

Dane


Pre-game Equity: <1%

Ugh, seems like his defining characteristic is missing teeth. Plans to win all the early comps and then start throwing the late ones...

Kiera


Pre-game Equity: 15%

Kind of like how she lines up in this cast, yet to see if she has a grasp of the path to victory.

Adam


Pre-game Equity: 2%

Standard model type

Kailyn


Pre-game Equity: 1%

I’d root for him if she turned out to be a mastermind, but my money is on floater

Chelsea


Pre-game Equity: 10%

I wouldn’t be surprised if she and Mark knew each other irl. Would be cool to see an easy alliance develop here which would be a big equity boost to both. Seems like she could get dragged to the end as a Russell type, but should be good for an HoH or 2.

Maki


Pre-game Equity: <1%

Only ever watched one season of the show. Lamb to the slaughter.


This probably doesn’t add up to 100 so normalize at home, please and thank you.

Let’s Go!

When does BBCAN7 start? And what is Mark's 2+2 name?

Cant remember tbh, he was a lurker who played a few turbos

Starts March 6

Linsanity

Is there any edge in riggage based on twitter presence? I see some of the accounts grinding twitter really hard, while I've just made one post to stop followers getting banned. I hope they're just chasing the celebrity and won't get twists in their favor based on followers.

Rob picks Mark as the first male off the board in his podcasts BBCAN draft

Id lay 4.5 to 1 against him winning based on the OP 18%

At what level are you a buyer?

Probably rooting for Adam/Dane/Damien/x 4 person guy alliance to happen. They’ll pick off some of the really dangerous girls in the first few weeks and it will be so boring the producers will make that alliance explode

Going to assume this is a feed friendly thread


Looking like a sick start for my boy! He's the least physical of the Pretty Boys, so should be safe for a while no matter who wins. Has a really well hidden secret f2 with Kiera who seems to be the internet fav so far. Confirmed connection to Chelsea. In the 9 person house alliance.

Here's my power rankings after the first eviction

Tier 1
Mark
Kiera
Chelsea - may end up being seen as a threat too early

Tier 2
Adam - surprised he seems to be playing well, seems unlikely to last though
Sam - really well positioned but skeptical that she will play well
Cory - tough roads ahead
Stef

Tier 3
Dane - had high hopes but can't seem to stop talking
Anthony
Kailyn

Tier 4
Maki
Kyra - seems likely to be the boot
Damien - he actually just doesn't talk to anyone?
Eddie

Anyone have an episode link?

https://write.as/x39937ts8kefd1y4.md

Gender neutral pronouns must be the stupidest thing I've ever seen.

F13 power rankings

Tier 1
Anthony - has the strongest social game so far but I don't have faith in his strategic sense down the road
Chelsea - great strategic and social position, smart

Tier 2
Mark - best strategic position but needs to step up social game
Eddie - playing a similar game to Mark with a slightly worse strategic position but better social. Both these two are in biggest danger of dropping on a double. Mark/Eddie and are my best guess at f2
Adam - playing really well but seems unlikely to last
Cory - a bit unknown

Tier 3
Dane - literally crazy
Kailyn - overplaying
Stef

Tier 4
Kyra - can't really win
Damien - likeable but meh
Kiera - bad early reads, just awful at the game
Sam - inexplicably even her allies want her out

Estefania too low.
Eddie too high
Adam wayy too high

Mark gets Wendy's and gets a salad...

yeaa. another player kills her game by winning an HoH she had no business winning... "smart"

Yeah horrible read on that one. She was awful, no game sense at all.

This season is kind of broken with Dane and Anthony being really strong players and everyone else being really awful.

Mark is playing the perfect strategic formula but is failing the social side. In some twisted way that might be to his advantage because the rest of the house is so misted by Dane and Anthony they’d probably immediately stab Mark if he tried to help them.

If most of players were good at the game they should all be dying to work with him.

Either way I love the mastermind edit the show is giving him

Chelsea is about to be evicted

Mark: hey you can probably have my vote, just tell me if you can actually find 4 more

C: and then next week? You just run to power again?

M: there’s a lot going on I’ll tell you after the game

C: you’re so condescending I don’t need you

Jfc facepalm

That was a really bad line

it never fails. jesus, these people are stupid. guessing 120 in that tiebreaker
youre off by a factor of 5

lool theyre scraping the bottom of the barrel with rosita handing out Wendy's

I only watch the episodes but Anthony seems to be playing the best game. Haven’t heard him brought up on anyone’s radar

Yeah Anthony is the best player by a wide mile, he does play a bit too hard but I don’t think it will bite him

Cory and Dane would also both inexplicably take him to f2

I think the equity right now goes
Anthony
Mark (I think he beats kyra and Damien and that seems like his goal f3 right now)
Adam
Dane
Kyra
Damien
Cory
Sam
Este

Vast majority of that equity goes to Anthony atm

Kyra’s own fault for voting to give Pat the veto