i have some early crystal at +350 action, but i currently believe lee is more than 4-1 to ship it right now and therefore have jumped all over -180 to -200.
i really just think the market is being way too irrational and is unable to comprehend that someone who was the clear favorite, clearly the most talented, who was -150 or so from 6 people on down, could now possibly be +400 headsup against some hack douche karaoking boner. but that is the reality i am seeing
Wrong thread but this exact thing happened last year and no one wants to hedge this late and they get killed. Tons of value shorting Crystal on WSEX I'm pretty sure and almost regardless of performances I'd expect her to drop 10-15 points before elimination.
i don't believe for a second she didn't know she was at least 90% to go through. if you didn't know that either that blows my mind. how ryan said it was fast but clear.
yeah i don't really like her.
edit : 'joining lee...for a shot...at the title...is....crystal bowersox!'
how on earth is this confusing?
Given that you watched it, this complaint seems absurd. He announced what he was announcing way quicker than he usually does, the crowd was still making noise at this point, she wasn't acting shocked that she made it through, she was making sure she didn't have a Derek Zoolander reaction to the result when she didn't know for 100% certain.
Lambert kind of lost because he was gay imo. It's not like voters went "I AINT VOTING FOR THAT ***", but I think it was obvious that Kris won because of his more down home Christian values and humbleness as opposed to Adam's flamboyance.
Personally, I don't think the actual performances on the finale make much of a difference. Most people have their minds made up at that point I would think, especially the power texters.
Was Lambert ever in the bottom three? Seems like he was widely popular throughout the entire series by fans and the judges. His final was mediocre. Thats the thing with this show. It doesn't matter how well you did 6 weeks earlier, it matters how you do each week.