American Idol Season 9
03-24-2010
, 06:07 PM
03-24-2010
, 06:18 PM
03-24-2010
, 06:31 PM
03-24-2010
, 06:36 PM
03-24-2010
, 06:47 PM
i need dvr imo.
03-24-2010
, 06:50 PM
03-24-2010
, 06:52 PM
AI elimination shows
MMA fights (btwn fight takes for ever)
replaying **** on sporting events
03-24-2010
, 06:57 PM
well, what you (and evry1 else) are saying is: obv paige and tim are big % to go
would u say there is ~10-20% chance someone else goes?
i think there is maybe 1/5 chance someone else goes.
pete's power rankings:
say michael and andrew are weak(ish).
I think both of them sucked last night. even though mike sang well, he was boring as always.
would u say there is ~10-20% chance someone else goes?
i think there is maybe 1/5 chance someone else goes.
pete's power rankings:
Quote:
Methodology:
I am using data from 9 sources weighted equally:
For each stat, I found the mean and standard deviation for all contestants with data combined (so including Lacey when she was around). I then determined the number of standard deviations each contestant was above and below the mean for each metric, and then averaged those to come up with an overall power score.
I now have 2 weeks of data, so I can make comparisons. If I'm not too lazy (so no guarantees), I'll try to update this each week around this time:
Biggest change this week was Siobhan closing on Crystal (way to use data to support the obvious, pete!). Crystal had some regression to the mean going on, in part because she had a huge spike of google mentions after her diabetes scare that has been steadily dropping down to normal levels. Lee and Casey switched spots and then some, largely because of Lee's dialidol score and a huge increase in his forum traffic. My completely subjective guess would be that the teens that liked Alex Lambert are migrating to Lee instead of Casey. Didi, for all the buzz, had virtually no change, and Tim bombed across the board.
I don't know if I'll try to improve this totally sketchy model, but I will try to keep updating if y'all are interested.
I am using data from 9 sources weighted equally:
- Dialidol busy signal %
- Dialidol raw votes
- Google mentions in the last week
- Posts in their subforum on idolforums
- Posts in their subforum on myidol
- Number of group members on myidol
- WhatNotToSing overall rating
- WhatNotToSing rating from their last performance
- Score from idoldemocracy
For each stat, I found the mean and standard deviation for all contestants with data combined (so including Lacey when she was around). I then determined the number of standard deviations each contestant was above and below the mean for each metric, and then averaged those to come up with an overall power score.
I now have 2 weeks of data, so I can make comparisons. If I'm not too lazy (so no guarantees), I'll try to update this each week around this time:
- Crystal: 1.21 (LW: 1, 1.36)
- Siobhan: 1.08 (LW: 2, 0.53)
- Lee: .63 (LW: 4, .42)
- Casey: .22 (LW: 3, .48)
- Didi: .19 (LW: 5, .2)
- Aaron: -.29 (LW: 9, -.39)
- Katie: -.31 (LW: 10, -.5)
- Michael: -.4 (LW: 7, -.4)
- Tim: -.44 (LW: 6, .11)
- Andrew: -.55 (LW: 8, -.35)
- Paige: -.79 (LW: 12, -.98)
Biggest change this week was Siobhan closing on Crystal (way to use data to support the obvious, pete!). Crystal had some regression to the mean going on, in part because she had a huge spike of google mentions after her diabetes scare that has been steadily dropping down to normal levels. Lee and Casey switched spots and then some, largely because of Lee's dialidol score and a huge increase in his forum traffic. My completely subjective guess would be that the teens that liked Alex Lambert are migrating to Lee instead of Casey. Didi, for all the buzz, had virtually no change, and Tim bombed across the board.
I don't know if I'll try to improve this totally sketchy model, but I will try to keep updating if y'all are interested.
say michael and andrew are weak(ish).
I think both of them sucked last night. even though mike sang well, he was boring as always.
03-24-2010
, 08:19 PM
