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turn nuts river puts out a higher straight turn nuts river puts out a higher straight

10-20-2015 , 08:13 PM
10/20 plo

I have beaten villain last couple sessions but he has won over 6k off me in this session. He is a decent player, not too speculative and generally more taggish. Villain has 9kish
Hero is viewed as wild but good player based on conversations with villain, hero has 5.5k

Three handed

Villain raises button to 60, hero calls from BB with 2435

Flop A 3 10d

hero checks Villain bets 90 hero calls

Turn 5d

Villain bets 200, Hero c/r to 850, villain calls

River 7
Hero bets 1500, villain pots, hero ?

thoughts on every street appreciated.
turn nuts river puts out a higher straight Quote
10-20-2015 , 09:47 PM
What are your suits?
turn nuts river puts out a higher straight Quote
10-21-2015 , 12:41 AM
Mdf wise pretty easy call, however given opponent and game being live I think it's sort of a puke fold.

Villain should have enough SDV to call a river bet and should be folding all KQJ type hands because of reverse blockers.. Also, if we were semi bluffing turns, we come to the river with an extremely polarized range which is still uncapped, so I couldn't imagine villain bluffing here without some solid 6x blockers.


Only hands I could see him bluff here would be hands like KK66 QJ66 KQ66 with diamonds or if you think he's good enough to turn a hand like AA66 into a bluff here.

Also, OTR what's your reasoning for betting 2/3 pot? Just curious because do you think Villain expects you to bet this size with 46 aswell? If you're betting a different size with 46, then he could easily start exploiting you with just one 6 as long as he doesn't have a 2 along with it.

In a live game i think I'd make a decision on recent events/villains mood/current dynamic since they definitely play a big role Vs online
turn nuts river puts out a higher straight Quote

      
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