Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 9
six max 1-2 utg opens to 7$ ,( his 26 %vpip from this pos), hero is bb, with Kh,Js,9h,8h. we are 255 bb deep. hero calls, flop Ad,Th,8d .(22$) hero check, villain bets 16$, hero calls. turn 9s. (56$). hero ?
my thoughts at the the table are: even if villain is betting his entire range on flop, he is holding the nuts QJ, about 20 % of the time, a set 10 % and a flush draw about 20 %. against this range im dead to another range c bet, or a raise. But villain still has a hand that is worse than mine about 40 %, and this part of range will have trouble if I lead 50 % pot. BUT WHY WOULD I LEAD THE NUTS, with no redraw this deep ? and can I bluff on a brick ? should I fold flop, where i have close to 50 % EQ.? that doesnt make sense to me... where do i go wrong ? ... in play, I BET 60 % , villian folds. maby just taking initiativ in a spot where trip aaa isnt nuts anymore, and my flop calling range is damn strong, isnt bad ?