Playing HU online against a player who is fairly nitty. He got his stack when I had a wrap + 2 backdoor flush draws vs. his top set, which was somewhat obvious, but I can't fold there.
Player is quite familiar with me. I generally am just betting small on flops and turns and he will fold without strong hands, and I've been on a bit of a winning stream and he seems to be getting annoyed and trying to make more moves.
I have A
4
Q
T
in the BB/first to act after flop heads up.
Villain has me covered, I have $1500.
Blinds $4/$8
Preflop
SB raises to $16. I re-raise to $48. SB calls.
Pot $96
Flop T
3
5
Pretty ideal flop for me, gutshot + nut flush draw + TPTK.
I lead out for pot $96. Maybe I should have check-raised, but I could see a lot of bad turn cards, I'm happy to just take it down, and if he decides to raise, I'm shoving.
V calls.
Pot $288
Turn T
Now I'm definitely in good shape. I don't think he has a set or two pair, although hand like T5/T3 is certainly possible, but very few combos on it. Plus I have a outs against it.
I check, figure he has *something*, might take a stab at it, and there's a very good chance I'm ahead, so why scare him off?
He bets $230.
I call.
Pot $748
River K
Definitely not a good card because if he has KT I'm done, I don't think he has KK here.
I check. I figure this lets him bluff missed flush draws/bluffs, plus I don't really mind a free showdown against this player.
He pots it $748.
This is very polar. I've seen him do this with very strong hands, his turn bet is showing a lot of strength.
However, something doesn't smell right to me. I do use my full time bank to think things over. 33, 55 beat me. Would he shove that when the flushes miss? I don't think he does. He's repping two hands here, KT and KK. Maybe T5.
Can I hero call, or does he have it every time?
$748 to win $1496.