Quote:
Originally Posted by Osprey
I suppose if I'm short enough to get all in on the flop with top set as the nuts, it can't be that bad a play... Because I've been reading some about being cautious with the naked top set, but I'm thinking now that's more when you're quite deep?
Naked top set . . . wow. I've heard of bare top two but this. The thing is, with this many people in the pot and so much interest, the pot is hugely bloated and you are practically never getting it in bad here and this will always be +EV. Ladybruin talks about spr again which is useful, but notice the spr is way lower now that several players have committed a psb to the pot...it's under 1. So even if you have only, say, 25-30% with "bare" top set, you have more equity than your share of the pot so you will make money in the long run, especially if anyone folds.
This is four ways and you still have over 25% in a worst-case scenario where multiple people are blocking your boat outs:
ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
JJ88 | 28.03% | 168,199 | 0 |
789T | 29.80% | 177,234 | 3,105 |
AsAh4s | 34.17% | 204,917 | 199 |
22 | 8.00% | 46,346 | 3,304 |
"][table]
ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: 8
6
2
[/URL]
Deeper I can see an argument for calling and potting on a clean turn, but not this shallow. (Another argument for not slowplaying top set is that you are less likely to stack middle and bottom set on certain scare card runouts....)
Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 07-08-2021 at 11:33 AM.