Quote:
Originally Posted by MIB211
I hate this spot. I always call here because "how can they have 35" and "the straight came weird runner-runner" and invariably guy who pots the river somehow has the made straight with a nut flush draw or something.
You're thinking about it the wrong way. When someone plays passively until the river then springs into action, they usually either improved on the river, were slowplaying, or are bluffing. I think we can rule out hands like 22xx or Q2xx and there don't seem to be any good candidates for slowplaying, so we are down to 53 or a bluff. He should put you on a set. If this is a smart player, you should ask yourself if he has the ability to try to bluff you off of a set here. My guess is that it is usually only going to be players who are capable of trying to bluff after accurately putting you on a non-nut full house.
If a player rarely bluffs, they tend to be even more unlikely to try to represent a backdoor draw coming in. I can see villain being more willing to turn a missed straight wrap into a naked ace bluff if a heart comes than I can see him trying to represent a straight.