I dusted off my first buy-in on a hand last night. IÂ’ve been lost a lot on paired boards lately so maybe you all could critique my reasoning.
For the hand in question, I had been at the table for less than 20 minutes but table had been open for at least 10 hours and most stacks were really deep. IÂ’d played with most everyone at the table many times and have a good feel for how everyone approaches the game.
Preflop
UTG brings in for 15
IÂ’m UTG +2 and call with A
K
Q
T
we were short handed I would have raised but even though it is super premium, I was am in terrible position. Also, two action players who generally love 3 betting were behind me and they were both stuck/on tilt so I thought there was a really good chance I was going to be able to get most of my stack in pre.
Instead, 4 others call (one tilt guy, one normie and both blinds)
Flop comes Q
Q
9
Original raiser pots it. We clearly cannot fold. Is repotting simultaneously a punt and not extracting max value? A smooth call lets us evaluate turns and brings in potential action behind us. We kill a lot of wraps and draws that beat us and may want to continue with our boat outs. We also have the second nfd because we have the 10, itÂ’s unlikely anyone is going for a crap flush draw.
Aggressor is a pretty good player and mixes it up. He was about 5k deep with a couple others and was likely playing their stacks and not really caring about my spot too much. He could call a raise with worse or with a draw but he may fold a queen knowing IÂ’m pretty tight. Unlikely i can get him off 9s full of queens but a big raise with no other callers could make him fold some equity.
So what is the move on the flop, people?