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River fold? River fold?

07-28-2023 , 05:44 AM
PL 5 Card Omaha 2(BB)
CO ($995.01) [VPIP: 36.7% | PFR: 20.3% | AGG: 35.8% | Hands: 79]
HERO ($428.94) [VPIP: 37.2% | PFR: 26.5% | AGG: 32.7% | Flop Agg: 33% | Turn Agg: 41.3% | River Agg: 27.4% | 3Bet: 5.6% | 4Bet: 5.4% | Hands: 2637]
SB ($412.41) [VPIP: 50% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 46% | Hands: 58]
BB ($200) [VPIP: 77.8% | PFR: 22.2% | AGG: 33.3% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 28.6% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 11.1% | Fold to 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 18]

Dealt to Hero: K K A 6 7

CO Folds, HERO Raises To $7, SB Folds, BB Raises To $22, HERO Calls $15

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.96 effective]
Flop ($45): Q 7 6
BB Bets $22.50 (Rem. Stack: $155.50), HERO Calls $22.50 (Rem. Stack: $384.44)

Turn ($90): Q 7 6 2
BB Bets $63 (Rem. Stack: $92.50), HERO Calls $63 (Rem. Stack: $321.44)

River ($216): Q 7 6 2 A
BB Bets $92.50 (allin), HERO Calls $92.50 (Rem. Stack: $228.94)

Spoiler:

BB shows: J Q 3 Q K

BB wins: $398.50
River fold? Quote
07-28-2023 , 05:46 AM
So the question is would you have folded the river? We should win 23% of the times to call to be profitable and I'm very suspicious it happens.
River fold? Quote
07-28-2023 , 08:50 AM
Needs to be a raise in you somewhere, so you can gtfo when he jams on you.

My 2c.
River fold? Quote
07-28-2023 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Viivi_FIN
So the question is would you have folded the river? We should win 23% of the times to call to be profitable and I'm very suspicious it happens.
So, unblocking the missed straight draws, blocking the FD. I think a river fold is definitely possible in 5 card. A lot of the Qx c-bets will have an A and just a better 2 pair. If your opponent has shown any merge bets, I think it's okay. Depends a lot on opponent though, probably vs an unknown you just have to call.

I think the main adjustment here would be 4 betting preflop tbh - pretty sure KQQ should be a fold pre vs a 4 bet.
River fold? Quote
07-28-2023 , 12:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by frankyx
pretty sure KQQ should be a fold pre vs a 4 bet.

Highly doubt a 77.8% VPIP is folding that hand to a 4 bet. I still prefer the 4 bet against this player tho.

As played, river is most likely a fold. Prefer raising flop, folding to a jam.
River fold? Quote
07-29-2023 , 12:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace upmy Slv
Highly doubt a 77.8% VPIP is folding that hand to a 4 bet.
It's 18 hands...
River fold? Quote
07-29-2023 , 11:29 AM
I don't think you can fold anywhere here - you block 66/77, alot of AA combos won't barrel like this and you have an Ace, he can have 89T,etc. I think it's a spot where you lose a fair amount but given the odds its a profitable river call.
River fold? Quote

      
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