Help vs triple-barrelling Villain
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 2,902
No Hand History; just observations.
On monotone flop (i.e. 3 of one suit), Villain potbets from all positions when he has the nut flush, or dry nut blocker. He will barrel pot on the turn and river if it doesn't pair.
We both generally buy in 200-300 bbs.
Question: how do I exploit this?
Other reads:
He also bets sets and smaller flushes IP.
No idea what he does if raised.
Thanks.
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 428
I assume this is 6-max?
Is this 3-bet pots? or sl pots?
What is his VPIP/PFR from all postions?
Kinda relevant... questions...
in 3b pots, if he generally flats hands like Abigbigx w 1 Asuit and not 3bet them and not 3-barrel Khigh flush I believe you can call down (because with AA**, the ratio between nutflush and nutblocker is ~50% nutflush, ~50% blocker?) (and you just need to be good > 33%)
On the other hand if he 3barrels A-high and K-high and even Q-high flushes you cant call him down (he will have a flush more than 33%)
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 446
^^
Major problems in this post. The biggest one is that "you just need to be good > 33%" to call down. If you know he's 3barreling both Ahigh flush and Ahigh blocker, you must make your decision (calling or folding) on the flop. And therefore you need to be good waaay more than 33%, in fact much closer to 50% (pretty easy to calculate how often exactly).
Also, even if he flats all his ABB*ss hands (which you don't really know), he will 3bet way more hands with a suited A than with an unsuited A (unless he only 3bets all AA, which is very unlikely if he's not a fish), making the nutflush more likely than the nutblocker. Same is true for the hands he flats pre.
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 2,347
You're lucky you have the read that he always barrels turn and river. If he played better (gave up some rivers), you'd have to be better more than 50% to call the turn.
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 2,902
More notes:
I play 10max, live. Usually 4-5 people see a flop.
Villain has a very wide PFR range, so that doesn't help much.
From what I can tell, OOP, his bets are usually polarizing: either the nuts, or complete bluff.
I think I devised a solution:
IP, call down with sets and two-pairs. 50% I'm right and win; 50% I'm wrong, and still win if I pair up. Seems a better strategy than calling down with Khi.
OOP, fold, don't worry much about it.
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 2,347
Why the distinction between IP and OOP?
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 2,902
OOP, Villain pretty much only bets nuts / nut blocker bluff.
IP, Villain bets his small flushes, sets, other hands
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 2,347
Your devised solution seems contrary to your initial specification that he value bets more thinly IP...
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 2,902
My solution is what I would do IP, OOP.
My reads are what he does IP, OOP.
They correlate fine
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 8,314
What's the best made hand he's shown down when he bluffs with the dry ace?
