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4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) 4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush)

09-21-2020 , 11:30 AM
6max PLO, effective stack is 80bb.

Hero opens MP to 3.5bb with AAK4, villain 3bets from CO to 12bb, hero 4bets to 37.5bb, villain calls.

Flop (77bb): T72
What should Hero do with ~0.5 SPR?

Thanks for any feedback
4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) Quote
09-21-2020 , 12:24 PM
think you are supposed to check your whole range, and with this hand fold to a small flop bet. I think the problem is CO is supposed to have a lot more flushes than you, since he has mostly double suited hands and you have a lot of AA, many of which are not double suited. This is for 100 bb stack so it might be different at 80 bb. Also should depend on the ranges you and villain are playing. Also if villain is not double suited he's usually single suited to the ace which is pretty bad news because you have two aces which are not the ace of trump.

AFter you four bet AA is the majority of your range.

Last edited by PokerPlayingGamble; 09-21-2020 at 12:43 PM.
4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) Quote
09-22-2020 , 09:21 AM
At ~.5SPR you need to win 25% of the time when called to break even.

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
8,032,720 trials (Exhaustive)
board: T72
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
AhKhAs4h42.07% 3,193,570371,972
10%57.93% 4,467,178371,972

It's not a perfect range, but vs. 10% you're well above that. You're probably not going to win majority of the time getting it in postflop on this board, but with SPR it looks correct to shove.
4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) Quote
09-22-2020 , 09:58 AM
at spr .75 or so its definitely a check fold without any diamonds. even with a T blocker its still a check fold. i think even at .5 spr its still a check fold because board is so bad for 4bet range like PPG said
4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) Quote
09-22-2020 , 03:45 PM
i think we have a real problem jamming range when we are at a substantial equity disdavantage, even at a low spr. Having the Kh is probably not great either, since now villains Kxxx double suited hands he is continuing with pre are going to skew towards flushes. What vision does is check and fold a significant portion of the worst part of it's range, vs a small bet, which in this case means ditching a lot of AA w/ blockers or board interaction (and even a lot of AA w/ nut flush blocker). Then it basically check jams the rest. This is at SPR .75 though, and in practice villain's three bet continuing range might skew away from the double suited hands depending on his playstyle, which might make it more of a jam range type scenario.


Of course villains responses to check would also influence our flop decision.
4bp AA - monotone flop (no flush) Quote

      
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