Effective stacks $600.
Hero dealt [] in BB ($5). UTG raise to $15, MP, Cutoff, Button all call. SB folds, Hero calls.
Flop ($75) A
8
2
Hero checks. UTG bets $35, MP, hero call.
Turn ($180) 9
Hero bets $125, UTG folds, MP calls.
River ($430) T
Hero bets $125, MP calls.
Interested on your thoughts on Hero and UTG's ranges here.
My thoughts: Hero's range on flop is any flush, range on turn is J-K high flush, with same river range.
MP's turn continuing range includes K-T high flushes, all sets (with 88 being most likely). MP's river calling range includes Q-J high flushes, and by river should be folding all sets.
A bigger question I have is, with MP's flop and turn calls, is hero safe leading out with
ALL flushes on river (against stations) and all K
blockers (against MPs that are more inclined to fold non-nut hands) for $125-$160, since MP's range seems more weighted towards sets and Q-T high flushes?