Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
Ladybruin, i agree there is a reasonable case to fold flop, but it is far from a clear-cut spot, especially against unknown. And general population tends to be pretty leaky on double board.
This is yet another “players play bad” post. These types of posts are nothing but excuses. Poker players playing badly is already baked into the equation of every thread. If the OP of a thread states that the players are unknown, then any other poster is making excuses for their post by adding, “players play bad.”
So who exactly is playing bad? Unknown white guy V1 that over-bet the pot? Or an unknown white guy V2 that then raised more than pot?
Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
Like its pretty safe to assume Hero has at least 40% equity on average vs V2 if V1 folds. And at least 25% equity on average if it stays 3w. So we shouldn't be super worried about seing a turn, if we think we can play future streets adaquately.
This is a double board.
You didn’t state which board you are talking about. I’m left to assume. I assume you are talking about Hero possibly having 40% equity with his wrap on the bottom board against V2 if V1 folds. Again I’ll state this is a double board. Hero has only invested $10 preflop so far. Now the game plan is to chase half the pot with his remaining effective $1990 to win half the pot. The preflop pot is $50 and we will add in V1’s postflop $100. Hero is to chase half of a $150 pot with his $1990 stack. Hmmmm.
Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
If villain is overvaluing a set without much backup, hero could easily be significant favorite.
Again this is a double board and three handed. Against which of these unknown villains are you trying to create a situation where the Hero is a favorite? Which villain? Unknown white guy V1 that over-bet the pot? Or an unknown white guy V2 that then raised more than pot?
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Everyone, this is a double board game. You guys are fixated on chasing half the pot by trying to talk about one board you might have equity. And are pretending away that this is double board and you are mostly dead with a bare top two pair on a flush draw board that about half the deck will make a straight. Seriously who is most likely to get scooped/quartered? Hero? Or unknown white guy V1 that over-bet the pot? Or an unknown white guy V2 that then raised more than pot? Or if you don't know much about split pot games, which player here is probably making the dumbest play? Unknown white guy V1 that over-bet the pot? Or an unknown white guy V2 that then raised more than pot? Or Hero for continuing with the hand give V1 & V2 actions in front of him?
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This hand is like having A3xx in Omaha high low. You limp preflop which is fine. And then there is a ton of action on the flop in front of you which indicates that you aren't scooping the pot and the best you can do is probably get quartered. It was fine to limp preflop, but with all the action in front of you on the flop it is now time to cut your losses and fold.
Last edited by ladybruin; 06-21-2021 at 07:29 AM.