1-2-5 Middle Set
10-09-2017
, 12:09 AM
10-09-2017
, 09:04 AM
10-09-2017
, 10:51 AM
20% that villain opens from MP should have less QQs than software’s top 20%. And he might check some of the QQs with every other player left to act. I’d be surprised if we had less than 35% versus the gii range. Don’t forget We’ll get folds aswell, there is quite a bit of money in the pot already. Also mistakes will be made on the turn and river if we call oop.
I can always make up reasons to raise.
Joking aside, i’d raise here for sure.
I can always make up reasons to raise.
Joking aside, i’d raise here for sure.
10-09-2017
, 12:15 PM
So our plan is to call and hope for the 8/7 board pair or a 3/2 of the suit not on the board ... and what do we want to do the other ~88% of the time on the turn? x/f?
Maybe be agro. and x/c when the 3/2 of a suit on the board, and super maybe if the Q hits.
If we aren't raising here I'd rather just fold pre.
Maybe be agro. and x/c when the 3/2 of a suit on the board, and super maybe if the Q hits.
If we aren't raising here I'd rather just fold pre.
10-09-2017
, 01:14 PM
^ 88%? 
All but a quarter or so of turns are jams. More if there's a diamond on board. Jamming should be +several bb in EV but calling should be better. Shouldn't overlook the effect of it being five-way otf.
All but a quarter or so of turns are jams. More if there's a diamond on board. Jamming should be +several bb in EV but calling should be better. Shouldn't overlook the effect of it being five-way otf.
10-09-2017
, 03:24 PM
Turns that make a straight: 4569TJ (24)
Turns that give higher sets: KA (4-8)
Turns that turns two pair into better FH: Q (1-3)
Turns that give a flush draw we don't have: 23 (4/6)
That leaves: 2378 (6-8)
The action on the flop is confusing, are we closing the action if we call or are the two extra people who saw the flop acting after us? 3 way to the turn makes T/6 less likely to be bad, but certainly I'd expect most JT9 to play this way from either player so they still aren't good.
Last edited by illiterat; 10-09-2017 at 03:30 PM.
10-09-2017
, 04:13 PM