Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerPlayingGamble
The pot is $810 not $710.
One of the guys must've folded so it was 5-handed for the turn, because CO definitely potted it for $710; was getting super-late so my memory was a little hazy but I remember that for certain. But thanks for the correction, much appreciated.
Do you guys think because I have so many callers though in a raised pot and a board like that which I led on that it's likely I'm missing a lot of outs?
It's like what could 4 different people be wanting to put in a call in a big pot OOP against an original raiser with on that board. The only nut draws out there (besides mine since I killed the deck) are wheel-wraps, so would seem very likely at least one guy has A4xx or 64xx, and on top of that I think it would be very frequent that at least one if not two guys have flush draws here (maybe with an over-pair like 1010/JJ possibly).
If someone had 22 or 33 it seems like they would want to lead or check-raise that flop, not check-call when it's 5 ways in a big pot OOP with so many draws on the board (since they can't put me on 99 but they could definitely put me on AAxx with
or A
K
xx.). So really limits most guys hands to draws and they could be blocking pairs too with that 5 or with the 23 on the board, so while I might think I have 18 nut outs there might only be 10 left in the theory.
If they go ahead on the turn with the 5 then I wouldn't get paid on the river if I flat and the flush or full-house hit so I'd have to stack off on the turn to get max-value in a multi-way pot (especially since theoretically two could have A4xx or 64xx, either combo).
I typically always like to charge back-doors extra and the way guys were playing in this game they were CHASING, saw one guy later stack off on the turn for $1K with just AA with a backdoor flush draw (ended up chopping with another AAxx on a board of 235K rainbow they got it all in on the turn, river was a blank), so my instinct told me it would be better to ship then fold or I could get called behind by something like A
6
7x or 5
6
7
8
that would have huge draw equity calling 700 into 2100.
Maybe I give guys too much credit sometimes in bloated pots, but it's just so often you see monsters in this game it's always in the back of your mind.
Will post results shortly, thanks for the thoughts.
Last edited by SocraticGambler; 03-17-2019 at 07:40 PM.