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5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot 5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot

05-31-2019 , 09:22 PM
5/5/10, 1100 eff

Hero with AT33dd in HJ
LJ (TAG pro) open to 35, me, BTN (TAG pro) and SB call

Flop (200): 752ddc
LJ bet 175, me and BTN call

Turn (735): Ac
LJ checks, Hero?
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote
05-31-2019 , 10:13 PM
I'm assuming you have nut diamonds?
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote
06-01-2019 , 04:47 PM
Yes I have nut diamonds.

I ended up potting because I have 35% vs sets and 75, 2-1 vs wrap/FD. Figured it’d be hard to realize my equity rivers I make aces up, a set or wheel. Figured I have good equity vs most stackoff ranges with turn SPR 1.4, better to GII here. Mistake?
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote
06-01-2019 , 05:18 PM
You don't have 35% against sets. Where do you get that number from? Which set(s) would your opponent even have? It almost would have to be AA right? 77 on a rare occasion. And what a weird line to take with a set it would be.

Why didn't we raise flop? So many questions to understand your thinking.
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote
06-01-2019 , 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaddyGreensPizza
You don't have 35% against sets. Where do you get that number from? Which set(s) would your opponent even have? It almost would have to be AA right? 77 on a rare occasion. And what a weird line to take with a set it would be.

Why didn't we raise flop? So many questions to understand your thinking.
34.6% vs. range of 77/55/22/75 according to propokertools

I guess it's true PFR shouldn't have many sets, but BTN overcall could rep bare 77/55 that doesn't want to raise pot OTF without backup vs LJ, who he's very deep with (3K+). I call flop instead of raising because I thought SPR was too high for me to have great equity vs. sensible stackoff ranges with just a NFD and non-nut gutshot vs. 2 people. On turn, it made more sense for me to jam because I pick up equity and SPR is so low. It's unclear how to play many rivers if I just call turn. Better to just GII now and fully realize equity.
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote
06-02-2019 , 01:03 AM
check now
5/10 Combo draw on the turn in MW pot Quote

      
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