Quote:
Originally Posted by onionsareyummy
That's 40% of
37 flops. Or ~15 flops. Not really the entire universe of boards to draw conclusions from.
Even low boards that we smash are most likely splits as we have the nut worst low. We might see equity against opponents who are willing to get it in with broadway cards only (are those even in the 15% range of hands?), but other than that example I believe the chances are too high that we're going to get scooped at worst and split at best - I just don't see any scoop potential for us, regardless of what equity a hot and cold sample says we theoretically have and as such while we might return 40% equity, it's going to be in this pattern:
split pot
split pot
split pot
get scooped
split pot.
Yes, we've got 40% still, but if we're heads up preflop all in (or just take a flop heads up and play poker) and no dead money in the middle, how is 40% equity good for us here? Also, with 40BB only, who are we folding out to get dead money in the middle?