hand one is as BE as it comes. 732 in the middle and have to call 315, we need 30.1% equity versus his range. versus any AA range, KK95s has 30.8% equity. Meaning, if he doesn't have AA literally 100% of the time you are lighting money on fire and when he does have AA 100% of the time, we still make money(on the call). I also assumed by one suite, you mean one flush combination and I ran numbers as so. I also labeled your flush draw King high, if it is only 9 high FD, you are going to have slightly less equity.
hand one: call
Regis Philbin: "is that your final answer?" yes
Answer: correct!
hand 2 obv infinite variables at hand that we aren't aware of. your hand looks kind of cool but isn't great. I think good/the better players could probably show small profitability by flatting but it is definitely going to be a high variant flat. I really can't see flatting being that bad or even bad at all, well the original flat, but then that repop FML. That's where you have to have Pokerjuice and run some sims I guess. but let's tackle it a bit. I stated the first flat seems okay, very thin line here though, has to be, and you should be a proven winner to be calling here. first, we have to check direct PO. there is 508 in the middle when it gets back to you and you have to call 225 to see a flop and close the action, ugh, call, don't even have to run any sims, has to be a call at this point lmao
, has to be. What are we ranging our opponent on? as played it definitely seems like it has some bluffs but this could also be AA a vast majority of the time, I mean readless, I would range him pretty strongly. He seems to end up showing up with some BS, which is fine, makes it even easier and more obvious of a call pre, or perhaps shove because folding on the flop is going to be so hard, especially if he has some air in his pf range. without running numbers though, I like a flat and play, unless, of course, he is clearly tilted and spewing, then u just shove them in probably. At that point, if he is hard spewing, we are then considering flatting only in hopes that he is a huge bafoon and unjustly surrenders too much equity on flops by folding when he should not.
Back to the odds. We have 2.26 direct pot odds preflop to play and see 3, that can't be disputed. I originally thought he covered but u cover him, he has 500 so only 190 left. If u flat we are playing a pot versus villain at 1:4 or 26% to be precise. you are OOP but it is pretty irrelevant after flatting and then playing a pot at said SPR(stack-to-pot ratio).
well, if villain only has AAxx combos our hand has 36.74% equity. we are basically going to the river no matter what so all of our equity will be realized. I mean, after the original call, you just have to call here, like even if he has no bluffs lmao. on the first call, direct pot odds say we only need 30.7% equity, we have 36.74% if we straight up run the board. The 190 back does have some relevance, we can't just write it off and look at the direct pot odds, there is poker to play yet. But it seems pretty minuscule at this point. When he starts showing up with bluffs we are lighting money on fire by folding pre. When he is nutted, the line probably runs thin but I think it's in our favor
. I did not tackle the SPR and the flop+turn+river part of the equation but in PLO, it's hard to fold
you don't really have to be a proven winner at all to call here, pot odds tell us to play. come postflop there isn't going to be a lot of pokering going on, it's going to be GII and run out the turn and river in most scenarios. There is some however, and that I wish I could tackle more in depth but that get's very time consuming and thought provoking
. Like always, if you are good and can still play this postflop at a high level, you really start to make it a +EV play
hand 2: call or shove(villain dependant)
Regis: "is that your final answer?"
: "yes"
Regis: "OP should go pro"
Last edited by p2 dog, p2; 11-29-2018 at 05:27 AM.