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New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe?

02-17-2010 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Etats360
Imagine you are unemployed. You have tons of debt and tons of bills to pay. You have $100 left to your name. You go down to the store, and spend it all on powerball lotto tickets, hoping that you can luckbox the $500 mil grand prize. Well, that's what the Knicks just did.
You don't honestly believe this right? Just a severe over exagerration and I got leveled pretty hard
New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? Quote
02-17-2010 , 05:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones
It's a 33.33 (repeating of course)% chance of a grand slam. If you think that's way off, go ahead and make some cash from the bookies and 2p2'ers.
I don't think you know how books work. Find me somewhere you can bet against Lebron going to the Knicks.
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02-17-2010 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by THAY3R
I don't think you know how books work. Find me somewhere you can bet against Lebron going to the Knicks.
heh, yea obv not, but he can bet me for all of the gold.
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02-17-2010 , 05:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by THAY3R
I don't think you know how books work. Find me somewhere you can bet against Lebron going to the Knicks.
Just bet on CLE, close enough.

Also, Hahn says LeBron is 50/50 (either he comes or he doesn't).

Last edited by Baltimore Jones; 02-17-2010 at 05:32 PM. Reason: sry for killing your action yet again redirk
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02-17-2010 , 05:34 PM
Etats was over the top with that analogy and it was kinda bad but he still knows what he's talking about more than the rest of you and has probably done a lot more research and reading about the topic.

Baltimore Jones,

You say it's more than 33% likely that the Knicks get either LeBron, Wade, or Bosh? Unfortunately, that is very badly wrong. There's pretty close to a 0% chance that Wade comes here. He loves Miami, hates NY, can make more money there, and they have cap room to sign another big player to help him.

Bosh hasn't really said much about the situation, but he can make more money in Toronto and wants to win. The only hope we'd have is that his ego makes him think that he can bring NY a title on his own. He's much more likely to go to Miami with Wade.

LeBron is really our only hope. If he wants to come to NY because of the big spotlight, then he'll come. If he wants to win championships and be higher paid, he won't.
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02-17-2010 , 05:39 PM
He won't make more $$ in Cleveland, Dolan is going to give him his own tv channel which will push his earnings well above anything Cleveland can offer him and also be a channel that I would watch religiously with no shame.
New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? Quote
02-17-2010 , 05:44 PM
I for one would watch lebron james original programming
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02-17-2010 , 05:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones
Look. If you're so smart with your "realistic" predictions of doom, you have a ton of money to be made. I'm sure you can get takers in this forum and elsewhere if you lay 10:1 on LeBron not coming. Here's a helpful hint though: online sports books have it at 2:1, and they're not in the business of letting people make good bets against them.
Sportsbooks generally set lines that divide bettors 50/50, not necessarily lines that reflect true thresholds.

Quote:
So we're talking about a 1/3 chance (if T-Mac happens, meaning an extra max contract or just better cheaper players of LeBron's choosing) of having the best team in the league for 5 years, maybe 10. Guy who's written two books on LeBron calls the Knicks opening up that space a "gamechanger", but we'll call that mostly a wash because of the Cavs possibly improving as well.
I don't think it's a 1/3 chance. Even if it is, how much bigger is that probably than before this trade?
Quote:
I agree that we are dogs to sign any of the big 3. But again, if we do it's a home run with the possibility of the biggest grand slam ever. If we don't get one of them, most of you assume that we'll just overpay for crap and be screwed forever. Why? There are plenty of good combos besides the big 3, the sky would be the limit for sign and trades, and we'd have flexibility for trades involving future draft picks if worst came to worst. Not to mention Curry's money in '11 even if we used everything up this summer.
We would have the flexibility whether we made this trade or not. Jeffries and Curry's contracts come off the books next summer.
Quote:
The 1996 free agency summer worked out pretty well for the Knicks even though they didn't land one of the most coveted few. And we had 3, count 'em, 3 of those precious first-round picks that year too - how'd those work out?
There wasn't a salary cap back then. And just because we didn't draft well in the past doesn't mean a lottery pick isn't valuable right now.
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02-17-2010 , 05:55 PM
The thing is, LeBron can come here whether this trade happens or not. We already have the cap space. The question is, how much more likely is it that he comes here because of the extra cap space.
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02-17-2010 , 06:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheUntouchable
Etats was over the top with that analogy and it was kinda bad but he still knows what he's talking about more than the rest of you and has probably done a lot more research and reading about the topic.

Baltimore Jones,

You say it's more than 33% likely that the Knicks get either LeBron, Wade, or Bosh? Unfortunately, that is very badly wrong. There's pretty close to a 0% chance that Wade comes here. He loves Miami, hates NY, can make more money there, and they have cap room to sign another big player to help him.

Bosh hasn't really said much about the situation, but he can make more money in Toronto and wants to win. The only hope we'd have is that his ego makes him think that he can bring NY a title on his own. He's much more likely to go to Miami with Wade.

LeBron is really our only hope. If he wants to come to NY because of the big spotlight, then he'll come. If he wants to win championships and be higher paid, he won't.
whoa...............you're making an awful lot of potentially non-factual statements here

Quote:
Originally Posted by Etats360
The thing is, LeBron can come here whether this trade happens or not. We already have the cap space. The question is, how much more likely is it that he comes here because of the extra cap space.
This is true, but with the extra cap space we could get that 2nd player which might entice him some more. I have mixed feelings on the deal. I'd like NY to keep bartering and save a 1st rder somehow, maybe give Houston that 2nd rder we just got for Nate, or something like that. But at the end of the day, whether or not we should do it anyway if Houston won't budge I really don't know, but certainly it's much closer than everyone saying OMG NO WAYYYYYYYY!!!

Last edited by AGame18; 02-17-2010 at 06:26 PM.
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02-17-2010 , 06:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheUntouchable
There's pretty close to a 0% chance that Wade comes here. He loves Miami, hates NY, can make more money there, and they have cap room to sign another big player to help him.
I don't know whether Wade loves Miami/hates NY, but it's not necessarily true that he can make more money there. When you factor in the likelihood of increased endorsements, NY may well turn out to be more profitable. And NY too should be able to sign a second big-name player (at least have the ability to do so cap-wise).
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02-17-2010 , 06:25 PM
Wow, according to Knicks blog:

Quote:
Two sources close to negotiations have informed TKB that the Nate/ Boston deal is signed and seemingly done, and the Knicks have managed to pry a first round pick from Boston.
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02-17-2010 , 06:55 PM
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Originally Posted by Wynton
Wow, according to Knicks blog:
sick
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02-17-2010 , 08:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by redirkulous
i mean, obviously i know thats not a good bet for him to take. i was just showing his stupidity when he is comparing what the knicks are doign to taking the last 100 dollars they have and putting it into a 5HUNDOmillion dollar powerball lottery....

and even if the % of lebron is truly 20ish---the percentage of getting one of lebron, wade, or bosh is higher. ---i can live with a 1/3 shot.
The lotto example was obviously a hyperbole. I meant to illustrate that this trade is a high variance move that can pay off HUGE for us if we win. The problem is that we don't hit the payoff nearly enough to make it +EV.

And I don't think I ever said Lebron James is x% to come to the Knicks (maybe I did? I don't remember). I said the gamble was 1% to pay off, which is another exaggeration. The gamble paying off doesn't necessarily equate to Lebron coming here. We already have a shot at getting him since we already have the cap space to sign him. This trade equates to us shifting Jeffries' cap space back a year in order to increase our chances of landing Lebron.

And that's besides the point. You DO realize that I'm a Knick fan and thus I want Lebron to come here, right? That I want to be wrong about this?
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02-17-2010 , 08:27 PM
We just traded Darko for Brian Cardinal, who will be waived. Cool?
New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? Quote
02-17-2010 , 08:32 PM
lol @ getting a first round pick for Nate Robinson if true.
New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? Quote
02-17-2010 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Etats360
We just traded Darko for Brian Cardinal, who will be waived. Cool?
sheds 1.8 million.
New York Knicks: You trying to get the pipe? Quote
02-17-2010 , 10:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Etats360
The problem is that we don't hit the payoff nearly enough to make it +EV.
says who? where are you getting these numbers?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Etats360
We already have a shot at getting him since we already have the cap space to sign him. This trade equates to us shifting Jeffries' cap space back a year in order to increase our chances of landing Lebron.

the knicks obviously think that having more cap space to (potentially) sign 2 max contracts will make new york a more enticing place for prospective free agents. Can we be sure of it? of course not, but who am I to say otherwise. If this deal makes Lebron want to come to NY even the slightest bit more, i'm for it.


and if we really are getting a first round pick for nate robinson, then I love it all the more.
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02-18-2010 , 10:10 AM
There's talks of a 3-way trade between the Knicks, Kings, and Rockets goign down. THe Kings would send Martin to the Rockets, who would send McGrady to us. We'd send Jeffries, Hughes, and Jordan Hill and/or picks to the Kings.
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02-18-2010 , 01:22 PM
regardless of whether the knicks get in as the third team, they will end up with mcgrady.

the kings are prepared to buy him out, and then he will sign with the knicks. obviously, if it goes down like this, the knicks won't shed payroll for next season. Let's hope it works out! (or doesn't work out, if you still think this deal is bad) Seems pretty bad for sacramento to not get this done (especially if theyre gonna get a first round pick out of it), so i expect it to happen.
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02-18-2010 , 01:42 PM
There are talks of Lee going to Sac now. He can veto any deal, so they need his permission to trade him.
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02-18-2010 , 01:54 PM
From What I've read we aren't getting any picks for n8. WTF
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02-18-2010 , 01:55 PM
Yeah, not even a 2nd for Nate.

http://www.realgm.com/src_wiretap_ar...rade_for_nate/
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02-18-2010 , 02:15 PM
wow wtf, what's even the point of trading nate if were not getting a draftpick?

re: lee... really? any more news on that?


edit: read the realgm note, pretty much says nothing
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