http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...erdays-lineups
Interesting article, says the Twins lineup was the 2nd most optimal of any team's yesterday. The methodology (ignoring handedness) is pretty terrible though. I reran it using career vRHP splits (as an approximation of vR projection) and got the following:
Mauer, Morneau, Span, Kubel, Cuddyer, Hardy, Hudson, Young, Punto
It only bumps the difference between real and optimal to .072 runs. Thoughts on the above suggested lineup?
I don't know what a reasonable projection for Thome vs. RHP is this year. At around .350/.450 he becomes a .1r/game improvement over Young's projection offensively. If we assume Young and Kubel are similar defensively (which they have been in left historically), that's a pretty terrible move. If you assume Young is an average LF (a terrible assumption obviously), it probably becomes optimal, especially given Baker's extreme fly-balledness.
I should really just blog about this **** lol...
/edit also the optimal lineup assuming that Thome projection is supposedly:
Mauer, Morneau, Span, Kubel, Thome, Cuddyer, Hudson, Hardy, Punto
Last edited by SL__72; 04-06-2010 at 04:13 PM.
Reason: .