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Originally Posted by ajmargarine
imo bunting in the first inning and playing for one run is bad
ok- you have a point. when it's tolbert batting, who is going to make an out 70% of the time anyway, i think your point is a little bit overrated, but you have a point. it is probably a little bit better to just let him hit to the right side or something.
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doubly so when the runner is already on second base.
but you are wrong here. moving him from 2nd to 3rd with no outs is better than moving him from 1st to 2nd.
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I appreciate a later inning sac bunt where one run in a close game has way more value; but this first inning stuff is stupid imo.
well, ok, kind of. if tolbert was up again with span on 2nd and no one out, in a tie game in, say, the 11th inning, then yeah, that bunt is going to have more value than tolbert's actual bunt in the first inning.
but when you are down by 1 in the bottom of the 13th, 2 runs has twice as much value as 1 run, right? and bunting span is giving up like 25% more "out" than bunting tolbert (because his OBP is that much higher), and moving the guy from 1st to 2nd is not as valuable as moving him from 2nd to 3rd, and bunting (span) to set up tolbert is not as valuable as bunting (tolbert) to set up mauer.