Packers won't let him return until he's ready. And if he refractures it, he's done for the year, but if he doesn't play we're also done for the year. Re-breaking his collar bone shouldn't cause any lasting damage, he'll be 100% ready to play by the time summer rolls around.
This is exactly my point. Atlanta and Seattle are currently the 6/7th seeds. Means not only does GB need to win out but they need AT LEAST one of ATL/CAR/LA to lose 2 out of its last 3 (plus needs Seattle to lose at least 1 game). Quite likely they'll need more help than that. I don't see it happening.
Yeah but we can hand Carolina 1 loss. Key game would then be Atlanta at NO. If Atlanta loses then either Carolina or Atlanta would lose their 2nd game in Week 17 since they play each other. Rams and Seahawks also play each other next week.
Just added a couple more completely possible results:
Week 15: Vikings beat Bengals, Falcons beat Buccs
Week 16: Panthers beat Buccs, Rams beat Titans
Week 17: Rams beat 49ers, Seahawks beat Cardinals
And the Packers are down to 63% chance even if they win out. And that ignores other important games like Seahawks/Cowboys, Panthers/Falcons, Falcons/Saints, Seahawks/Rams
Just added a couple more completely possible results:
Week 15: Vikings beat Bengals, Falcons beat Buccs
Week 16: Panthers beat Buccs, Rams beat Titans
Week 17: Rams beat 49ers, Seahawks beat Cardinals
And the Packers are down to 63% chance even if they win out. And that ignores other important games like Seahawks/Cowboys, Panthers/Falcons, Falcons/Saints, Seahawks/Rams
So you chose the worst possible outcomes for those games and are surprised the % went down? I'm confused as to why you are confused about how that simulator works.