Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Thing is the team can't possibly be that much better with Zeke over a 4-headed RB monster right now (of say DMC/Morris/Rookie/Dunbar). It's still a passing league, feels so wrong to invest in a guy that will probably play 11 games a year for 5-6 years and flame out. For all the beauty of a Le'Veon Bell for example, the guy is literally never on the field of late when it matters. And they slide in a DeAngelo Williams and hardly drop off.
I don't see how I'd ever invest this much in an RB anymore. Not at the rate they're hurt and the shortness of the careers. You'll get 15+ years out of an elite QB, 10 years out of a WR (ish?), your corners are probably good for as long as the wideouts (maybe longer since you convert them to Safety after). I just hate drafting RB's in the first now.
The team would be significantly better with one top RB getting bulk carries than some "4 headed monster." Correct, it is still a passing league and DeMarco Murray was the biggest reason for the passing game being so strong 2 years ago and their best TOP in the league made a poor defense into a defense that was slightly above league average. By all metrics the line didn't perform as well last year, they were still very very good but the biggest reason for the dip in production was the RB that chewed up bulk yardage every carry and himself was an outstanding blocker (just as Zeke is said to be).
Dunbar is great, love the guy but he is a hybrid player that works in a system - he is hardly even a running back. He needs to be left out of the discussion. DMC is old and injury prone and Morris is trash. Morris had one good year (rookie season) benefiting from the breakout season of RGIII's read option. Since then he has had to be a straight up RB and has been not good - he may perform better with a better line but a better line doesn't magically make good RB's...just ask Joseph Randle that. Staying on that topic, Randle outperformed his actual worth when Murray was the bulk carry back because of the mismatches it created. This split carry stuff doesn't work as well.
Next, you are exactly right, taking a RB in the draft you would get 5 maybe 6 years of worth out of him. So explain to me how drafting what is thought of as an impact RB in the draft at 0 miles worse than grabbing Alfred Morris at year 5?? Grabbing a RB out of the draft, using him up until there isn't any tread on the tires (for cheap I might add) and then disposing him and doing it all over again is exactly the model that works. Grab Morris now after 1000+ carries, now his 5th year and his performance has dipped every single year since his rookie year? No, not a fan. I mean the price is cheap so sure, nothing really to lose but he isn't helping if he is the main guy or even the second guy.
Draft Zeke. Seriously, draft him. Passing game will get better and that crap defense will get a boost. I mean that guy from the Raiders they just signed with like 1 career sack would be a started DE if the season started today.