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NFL Suicide Pool Discussion Thread NFL Suicide Pool Discussion Thread

09-10-2014 , 02:54 PM
I really don't get the Packers pick. The moneyline on the Packers is lower than Denver and there are more people on the Packers so no separation. Plenty of future value on GB as well. Not a good pick IMO.
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09-10-2014 , 04:07 PM
I'm locking in on the Packers this week. Thought about using Denver here (or tampa) but Denver can be saved for the raiders later. Packers schedule seems tough, relatively. I was looking at the vs MIN week but even that isn't looking particularly locksy
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09-10-2014 , 04:12 PM
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Originally Posted by splashpot
I think I'm burning Denver this week.
this. rest of games scare me.
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09-10-2014 , 07:24 PM
Not sure where the levels are ITT exactly but there look to be a ****load of them.
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09-11-2014 , 10:30 AM
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Originally Posted by hfrog355
Not sure where the levels are ITT exactly but there look to be a ****load of them.
Says the guy who said he likes Houston lol.
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09-11-2014 , 01:16 PM
Yeah, I'm totes on DeNv3R this week.
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09-11-2014 , 08:57 PM
Am I the only one who used Baltimore this week?
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09-11-2014 , 09:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hurp Durpington
I'm locking in on the Packers this week. Thought about using Denver here (or tampa) but Denver can be saved for the raiders later. Packers schedule seems tough, relatively. I was looking at the vs MIN week but even that isn't looking particularly locksy
SF plays the Rams that week. And I really don't see a week before that where I'd feel great about using SF. Plus that game is all the way out in week 9 anyway.
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09-12-2014 , 08:59 AM
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Originally Posted by EddyB66
Am I the only one who used Baltimore this week?
Prob one of the only...why take unnecessary risks on a 57% favorite and on a short week when there's plenty of 68-72% favorites with lil or no future value. Of course you look like a genius right now tho the way that game turned out hah.
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09-12-2014 , 11:16 AM
I felt like the line was way off, and thought Balt run game would carve em up.
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09-12-2014 , 11:53 AM
Locked and loaded with GB, TB and HOU on a few different tickets. Washington scared me off.
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09-13-2014 , 09:24 PM
Took the Eagles last week.

Taking Green Bay coming off a loss. Was considering switching to New England now that AP won't be playing, but then realized they are playing the Raiders next week.
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09-13-2014 , 10:38 PM
You guys ever watch ESPN's segment on their suicide pool they have? I think 1/3 of their field is already eliminated and no one picked the Packers this week. Only 1 picked Eagles last week as well. How do these guys have jobs? Do they do any research whatsover?
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09-13-2014 , 10:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Sephiroth4761
Was considering switching to New England now that AP won't be playing, but then realized they are playing the Raiders next week.
There's no reason to take New England this week.

You see the headline and immediately think, "NE gonna roll all over MIN", but it's not the case. They're still only 69% to win the game on Pinnacle, which is comparable to CIN, SEA, TB and WAS.

In addition to next week against Oakland (where they'll be wildly popular), if you take them now you also lose them for weeks 7 and 8, where at a glance they'll look to be the top option available.

So although you think you've lucked into a great situation with Peterson out, I think the right play is to save the Patriots because there are comparable options this week that are just as good, and there are much better spots to use them down the road.
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09-13-2014 , 11:27 PM
I'm thinking Washington and Arizona are the teams most likely to lose and put big dents in pools.

Maybe Tampa but I sure hope not!
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09-13-2014 , 11:40 PM
I picked Seattle in my pool but mostly cause it's on yahoo and the home team is on the left so I though Seattle was at home
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09-13-2014 , 11:44 PM
Why no love for NO?
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09-13-2014 , 11:48 PM
Outdoors, on the road, awful defense.
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09-13-2014 , 11:59 PM
Eh, they'll be fine but their future value is pretty high still.
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09-14-2014 , 01:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by accobra_kid
There's no reason to take New England this week.

You see the headline and immediately think, "NE gonna roll all over MIN", but it's not the case. They're still only 69% to win the game on Pinnacle, which is comparable to CIN, SEA, TB and WAS.

In addition to next week against Oakland (where they'll be wildly popular), if you take them now you also lose them for weeks 7 and 8, where at a glance they'll look to be the top option available.

So although you think you've lucked into a great situation with Peterson out, I think the right play is to save the Patriots because there are comparable options this week that are just as good, and there are much better spots to use them down the road.
I think we're saying the same thing. I said I CONSIDERED switching my pick from the Packers to New England with the Peterson news, but once I realized the Patriots play the Raiders next week, I realized it was not a good idea.
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09-14-2014 , 10:33 AM
I went CINN this week. Not a lot of places to use them later on, might as well gamble early right?
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09-14-2014 , 11:42 AM
totally. gambling early in suicide pools def seems like a +EV strategy.
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09-14-2014 , 04:36 PM
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Originally Posted by 34TheTruth34
totally. gambling early in suicide pools def seems like a +EV strategy.
Worked this week.

week 1) Pitt
week 2) Cinn
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09-14-2014 , 05:22 PM
If KC, Jets, and Seattle win. I think I might ship my pool already.
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09-14-2014 , 05:25 PM
Saints and Packers should get rid of a good % this week.
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