Calling it now

Denver
San Diego
San Fran
Dallas
Green Bay
New England
Miami
Cleveland
New Orleans

I win, will revisit in 9 weeks

Tampa Bay beats Philadelphia less than 50% of the time this week. There are 15 teams more likely to win this week than the Bucs.

I think Chicago is a great pick in your spot, better than San Francisco.

Chicago has no good home dates left. 49ers have more future value, both CAR/STL and they travel to JAX. Makes sense to save them.

Have to be careful about pick distribution. Yahoo currently showing 18.6% for SF, but OfficeFootballPool has them 27.9%, top overall pick. Every pool is going to vary, a lot starts to depend on who still has them available.

Chicago is also going to get less popular as the week goes on. Come 8pm tomorrow night, everyone who takes Chicago will have locked them in already, while people who drag their asses for three more days will be forced to pick DEN/SF/SEA/KC, lowering CHI's popularity. They may not look like a great pick now, but the Bears will look better come Sunday.

On Bears in 1 league and Cincy in the other. Feel real good about both.

Woo, thank you Eli, that could've been scary.

Might just pick against the Giants the rest of the year.

Well when I made my Tampa pick I didn't realize they were all fighting a flesh eating disease, so I may just take KC I guess, since I have them left too.

Come on Jacksonville...

lol Jacksonville

edbratz, elite survivor talent

Texans might be unpickable.

Disagree. The NFL season is long, lots can change in a few weeks.

Texans have both games against Jacksonville late in the season, as well as a home game against Oakland. I could see myself taking them, especially if I've used Seattle (week 10) or Green Bay (week 11) elsewhere.

Went Rams, Eagles (one rebuy league), Seahawks, Colts, Packers, Broncos.

Phins or SD next week I guess?

Was being facetious because I'm a suicidal Texans fan but yes, obviously we play Jags twice.

All of this makes sense, wish I had read it before submitting. I went with SF.

Am very tempted to go Atlanta across the board. After a bye, at home vs a ****ty Bucs team, way on the ropes at 1-4... As much as I've been predicting gloom and doom for the Falcons, how can they lose this game?

I'd go with the other team coming off the bye.

Falcons are just really bad, and I have no clue what the offense will be able to do w/o Roddy, SJax, and Julio. If TB can take Tony G out of the game I'm not sure how the Falcons can move the ball.

I agree, after Atlanta burning me in my other league, going Dolphins this week feels safer and I don't see another week I'd use them.

With Chiefs at home and Keenum starting are they the strongest pick this week?

Not willing to deal with the stress of Atlanta, though I think they win.

A nice mix of SD and MIA should suffice.

I would lay off MIA, I am a Bills fan FWIW but I don't think this game is a walk for the phins. MIA is bad at protecting Tannenhill and the Bills are third in sacks. Defense is getting healthier and I am sure there will be a heavy dose of FJax/CJ. Better options are out there IMO.

No.

Kansas City is an inferior survivor pick to Atlanta. Falcons are slightly more likely to win this week and have less future value (home to WAS is only other spot, KC can be used against CLE/SD/@BUF/@OAK). Both are equally popular this week.

Kansas City is also inferior to Miami. Dolphins are 76% to win, have no future value and are only twice as popular as Kansas City.

But the best pick is clearly Carolina this week. More likely than Kansas City to win, very little future value, and only selected by 1% of entrants this week.

Glad I'm not insane for going with the Panthers

Thanks for this post. I just switched to Carolina because of it from ATL.

Also on Carolina in one pool. Been switching like crazy all week though.