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NFL DFS Thread 2015 NFL DFS Thread 2015

09-16-2015 , 02:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackburn
I mean there are a lot of people only putting 20-50 dollars on FD/DK and im relatively sure they aren't in $10 contests with that kind of roll

the two aren't mutually exclusive, but I think its almost certain the % of "fish" in $1 contests is higher than in $10 contests
Might be different, but for MLB on FD I have way more people join my $25 and above H2h's who have 0-10 wins than the smaller stakes. But it could be misleading since if they put in 25 $1 h2h vs. 1 $25 h2h way more wins. And I have a much higher ROI on the higher stakes than smaller among similar # of matches.
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09-16-2015 , 02:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by IlluminatedK
the thing about smaller games is the way fish are protected, is actually by making them pay more rake.

obviously this isn't the case on every site, but why would I play down and pay way more rake when the people at $10 are just as bad as at $1?
What site has "way more rake" or even just a little more rake at $1 games than $10 games? None that I play.
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09-16-2015 , 02:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
Might be different, but for MLB on FD I have way more people join my $25 and above H2h's who have 0-10 wins than the smaller stakes. But it could be misleading since if they put in 25 $1 h2h vs. 1 $25 h2h way more wins. And I have a much higher ROI on the higher stakes than smaller among similar # of matches.
This is pretty interesting, as you said there could be a number of explanations for it... Do any of the sharks take your games? (maybe you are regarded as decent? so sharks don't feel the need to take your games)

I know nothing about MLB its the one sport I have not played at all.

I wish FD and DK would release numbers like how many of each event type fired... would be quite interesting to see. I really want to see how many of the 10k HU fire every week
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09-16-2015 , 03:44 PM
Pretty happy with my first non-freeroll foray into DFS. Finished just outside the top 200 in the $100K on StarsDraft and won $30. I guess technically I freerolled since I used a free ticket, but it's a $10 GPP, so I'll count it is not a "real" freeroll.

Entered a few freerolls, but focused the most on my $100K lineup, which turned out to be the only cash. Was happy with the lineup I put together and felt I was really just unlucky variance away from a much bigger cash (was top 100 with Dez, Romo, and Jordan Matthews remaining). Don't feel I really got "lucky" with anyone - I didn't have Mariota or anyone like that.

I clearly won't do as well most of the time, but hey, at least for now I'm in the black.
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09-16-2015 , 03:48 PM
Speaking of StarsDraft, I just checked my e-mail and they have given people a free ticket into the NFL $100K this weekend to apologize for the website problems on Sunday. Don't know if it's for everyone or just people who were in the $100K, but check your e-mails/accounts. The ticket is added automatically to your account.
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09-16-2015 , 06:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CohibaBehike
Lol yeah that's like my exact opposite feeling. I loathe FD software interface.
+1
Played FD last year. DK feels so much easier to use.
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09-16-2015 , 06:50 PM
Sooo, looks like Terrance Williams is this weeks week 1's, Davante Adams. Everyone and their brother is gonna be playing him. I would guess it would be best to go contrarian and not to play him in GPP's and hope he busts.

I tend to like playing WR's and RB's who were busts in the previous weeks as public sentiment is to avoid them but in reality they usually bounce back (i.e. for this week: D. Martin, A. Robinson, D. Adams, A.P., G. Olsen etc...)
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09-16-2015 , 06:56 PM
Personally, I am not completely sold on Twill. Think Witten and Beasley are just as likely to profit from Dez's departure. If I had to pick one of the three I would say Witten. That being said Twill is pretty cheap so should be highly owned.
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09-16-2015 , 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BGnight
Sooo, looks like Terrance Williams is this weeks week 1's, Davante Adams. Everyone and their brother is gonna be playing him. I would guess it would be best to go contrarian and not to play him in GPP's and hope he busts.

I tend to like playing WR's and RB's who were busts in the previous weeks as public sentiment is to avoid them but in reality they usually bounce back (i.e. for this week: D. Martin, A. Robinson, D. Adams, A.P., G. Olsen etc...)
Playing Witten is prob the best way to fade Williams this week
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09-16-2015 , 09:28 PM
Looking for opinions on some possible stacks.

Wanting to play some micro gpp and$1 H2H

Palmer/J. Brown
Roethlisberger/A. Brown
Brees/Coleman or Brees/Cooks


Sent from my SM-N910V using 2+2 Forums
NFL DFS Thread 2015 Quote
09-16-2015 , 09:44 PM
On DK do I really need to make the same lineup twice if I want to enter it in a Thursday and a Sunday contest (no Thursday players in the lineup)? Or am I missing something obvious?
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09-16-2015 , 09:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dlk9s
Pretty happy with my first non-freeroll foray into DFS. Finished just outside the top 200 in the $100K on StarsDraft and won $30. I guess technically I freerolled since I used a free ticket, but it's a $10 GPP, so I'll count it is not a "real" freeroll.

Entered a few freerolls, but focused the most on my $100K lineup, which turned out to be the only cash. Was happy with the lineup I put together and felt I was really just unlucky variance away from a much bigger cash (was top 100 with Dez, Romo, and Jordan Matthews remaining). Don't feel I really got "lucky" with anyone - I didn't have Mariota or anyone like that.

I clearly won't do as well most of the time, but hey, at least for now I'm in the black.
starsdraft has fantastic promotions for new players, i would recommend them first to new players because of the 3 free tickets they give. really cool idea...
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09-16-2015 , 09:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stevepa
On DK do I really need to make the same lineup twice if I want to enter it in a Thursday and a Sunday contest (no Thursday players in the lineup)? Or am I missing something obvious?
no its 2 different contests with different games, so you can't import a roster without thursday night games
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09-16-2015 , 10:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackburn
Personally, I am not completely sold on Twill. Think Witten and Beasley are just as likely to profit from Dez's departure. If I had to pick one of the three I would say Witten. That being said Twill is pretty cheap so should be highly owned.
terrance williams is the davante adams of week 2. i would prefer to play beasley i think, or brice butler depending on how fast they incorporate him into the offense. witten will probably have the highest targets though...
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09-16-2015 , 11:08 PM
report from the beginner tables:

I guess this will surprise nobody, but my limited sample showed buy-in stakes didn't really make a difference, in fact the beginner $100 double ups were slightly softer than the beginner $25 games. This is with small fields $100 (11) vs 57 and 90 person $25 tourneys.

Some really bad plays in the $100 double ups actually - ie. Tannehill at QB, Matt Ryan with Roddy White, Tyrod (money savings didn't create a facemelter lineup elsewhere), and in general a few too many "names" [older players who are on the decline]

breakdown of $100 qb ownership:
bradford 24.24%
romo 21.21%
rodgers 18.18%
ryan 15.15%
tyrod 9.09%
tannehill 6.06%
luck 3.03%
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09-16-2015 , 11:16 PM
Tyrod hit 3x.
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09-16-2015 , 11:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lucburm1999
Looking for opinions on some possible stacks.

Wanting to play some micro gpp and$1 H2H

Palmer/J. Brown
Roethlisberger/A. Brown
Brees/Coleman or Brees/Cooks


Sent from my SM-N910V using 2+2 Forums
i think brees is the #1 qb this week so i would play him 100% in cash. i would probably mix my lineups, some with coleman and some with cooks
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09-17-2015 , 12:56 AM
I mean results oriented tannehill sucked but he seemed like a great play going in
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09-17-2015 , 12:59 AM
^ yeah probably best to ignore my analysis and of course it's easy after the fact.

I didn't think Tannehill was a good cash pick but maybe that's wrong.
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09-17-2015 , 01:35 AM
It's week 1 so hard to say but I projected him to have a big year and liked his matchup.

I played condia and be played tyrod vs me who I thought was an awful cash play
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09-17-2015 , 02:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesrwood
It's week 1 so hard to say but I projected him to have a big year and liked his matchup.

I played condia and be played tyrod vs me who I thought was an awful cash play
i don't think tyrod was a bad cash play, i think his floor was higher then people think because of his rushing ability and great matchup
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09-17-2015 , 06:48 AM
Idk I'm a huge tyrod fan but I think but cash you had to go with Bradford , Rodgers tannehill or maybe 1-2 others . Tyrod was unproven
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09-17-2015 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesrwood
Idk I'm a huge tyrod fan but I think but cash you had to go with Bradford , Rodgers tannehill or maybe 1-2 others . Tyrod was unproven
tyrod was a stone cold lock cash play last week imo. i didn't pivot off him in any lineups.
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09-17-2015 , 08:05 AM
I played Tyrod in 100% of cash lineups on dk and yahoo and was pleased to see any other qb going against me. If I knew his ownership would be so low I would have played him in all gpps too.
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09-17-2015 , 08:16 AM
Who would you choose between Kenny Stills and Greg Jennings?
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