MLB 2015 DFS Thread - Page 26 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

sorry about the ******ed comment on GPP's as i know everyone is not binking these.

Curious when the daily grinders take a look at a short slate like tonight don't you worry that rosters will over lap so much your just paying juice to DK fanduel whatever most the time? I always thought that the larger the slate the higher the edge. Is this correct thinking or not? Baseball is really hard to understand cause on one hand i am constantly pumping out lineups getting into the 30's and cashing 50/50's but as far as GPP play i am toast and lucky to just min cash.

i personally dont play on the short slates for the reasons you mentioned. im curious if others here feel the same. also, if i were you id just keep doing this

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i am constantly pumping out lineups getting into the 30's and cashing 50/50's

and print money and stop worrying about the gpps. that strategy worked for me during football season.

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04-16-2015 , 08:09 PM

#627

SA16

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Quote:

Originally Posted by lebron_cramps

It more has to do with the quality of the games than the quality. If there's one team that's just a massive favorite and a huge mismatch even on a 15 game slate they may be more owned than guys would be on a smaller one.

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04-16-2015 , 09:16 PM

#628

CharlieKelly

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Chris Archer doe.

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04-16-2015 , 09:19 PM

#629

beauvanlaanen

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playing cash games on a 4 game slate is not a great idea, having zero chris archer on a 4 game slate is worse...

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04-16-2015 , 10:02 PM

#630

NDfan

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Quote:

Originally Posted by beauvanlaanen

playing cash games on a 4 game slate is not a great idea, having zero chris archer on a 4 game slate is worse...

Me too

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04-16-2015 , 10:18 PM

#631

losing all2

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Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 2,168

Meh, I'm not throwing the dude @Tor, so fuggit.

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04-16-2015 , 11:27 PM

#632

TasteIsKing9

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 1,360

Tim beckham will be on the winning27$ dk Gpp roster. Tim beckham only had a ph appearance. Of course it was a 2 run hr.
Gpps are easy to win

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04-16-2015 , 11:52 PM

#633

ChiefBlackfoot

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Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

sometimes u gotta bend it like beckham

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04-17-2015 , 02:07 AM

#634

Shoe

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I need this game to just end, preferably with as few runs as possible

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04-17-2015 , 02:31 AM

#635

lebron_cramps

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 970

I am new to advanced stats, do you guys like woba or MUwoba more as a stat to use?

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04-17-2015 , 02:51 AM

#636

ChiefBlackfoot

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Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

woba chamberlain. both are good but if you're new you should probably teach yourself how to predict when a guy's woba will be projected to go up or down based on a certain matchup then look at MUwoba

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04-17-2015 , 03:00 AM

#637

losing all2

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Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 2,168

Quote:

Originally Posted by lebron_cramps

I am new to advanced stats, do you guys like woba or MUwoba more as a stat to use?

I use wOBA and wRC+ but imo it doesn't really need to get any more advanced than good old fashioned OPS. I'm not even sure what MUwoba is but there's no magic bullet and anything fancier than the 3 I mentioned could be too fancy.

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04-17-2015 , 03:26 AM

#638

ChiefBlackfoot

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Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

the main thing is to know when to remain calm and when to Panik

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04-17-2015 , 03:42 AM

#639

ChiefBlackfoot

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

looking at some stuff on MUwoba it seems like unless you can find reliable long term data to fit the parameters it might encourage you to roster overvalued players but idk I don't exactly crush this

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04-17-2015 , 06:57 AM

#640

boc4life

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I've always found it bizarre that people use wOBA for DFS research. Linear weights are cool and all, and they're really useful for actual baseball...But it would be much more effective if the linear weights matched up to the scoring of a fantasy site.

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04-17-2015 , 09:49 AM

#641

sheriffolds

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Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 834

Quote:

Originally Posted by boc4life

Do you like looking at ISO to predict home run chances for a gpp

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04-17-2015 , 10:42 AM

#642

CohibaBehike

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Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,651

Quote:

Originally Posted by 34TheTruth34

i personally dont play on the short slates for the reasons you mentioned. im curious if others here feel the same. also, if i were you id just keep doing this

i love playing GPPs on 4-5 game slates. I'll put 20 lineups into the $3 and the $5 and you can stack a bunch of the possible permutations. I've yet to hit a top 3 doing this, but I've come really close (lineups in top 1%)

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04-17-2015 , 10:54 AM

#643

Priptonite

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Originally Posted by Priptonite

Surprisingly interesting night for only 4 games, imo. Pretty much every pitcher is in play and no stacks look super juicy. I imagine Toronto will be very popular again, which makes Archer one of my favorite GPP pitchers.

Nice feeling when things work out the way you expect/want them to. Wish it happened more often.

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04-17-2015 , 12:10 PM

#644

Priptonite

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Ugh, there are quite a few cheap pitchers today that I like which means I'm gonna use them everywhere and their gonna get blown up and I'm not gonna win anything.

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04-17-2015 , 12:25 PM

#645

dereku

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Especially with that attitude!

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04-17-2015 , 12:39 PM

#646

SA16

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I'll be paying UP

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04-17-2015 , 12:41 PM

#647

EddyB66

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Price fade for me. All the Abreu and Melky.

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04-17-2015 , 05:00 PM

#648

boc4life

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Quote:

Originally Posted by sheriffolds

Do you like looking at ISO to predict home run chances for a gpp

If you're strictly looking for HRs, you should probably just look at some kind of HR rate stat. That said, doubles and triples aren't exactly bad for fantasy scoring. But good old slugging percentage probably gives you a better idea of a player's usefulness. If you go 1 for 30 with a HR, you're going to have a massive ISO, but you won't really be very useful for fantasy.