MLB 2015 DFS Thread - Page 215 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Uber close to a monster cash tonight. Put up 181 with no Cueto. Also had a unique lineup with Cesar Zimmerman werth. Coulda gone Ian Zimmerman Ajones and won all the money without Cueto. Oh wells. Gotta hit every player to win it all

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08-11-2015 , 12:23 AM

#5353

SA16

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 6,972

Yea...in 90 PA this year. He has a career 102 wRC+ vs lefties though he's likely slightly better than that since he's obv better now that he was his first few years in the league. (167 since last year, 135 since 2013, 130 since 2012, 119 since 2011) etc..and even since 2011 it's only a total of 812 PA. He is also one of only two right handed hitters in the entire league with at least 1000 PA vs lefties and righties in their career that have reverse splits via wOBA where the split is >0.010 pts.

In-season splits are basically 100% meaningless.

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08-11-2015 , 12:28 AM

#5354

ChiefBlackfoot

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

Adam Jones at home.. nope. Adam Jones at Safeco.. yep.

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08-11-2015 , 12:35 AM

#5355

Lawnmower Man

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 4,455

The probability all of your live outs get pinch hit for given you're in contention in a large tournament --> 1.

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08-11-2015 , 01:02 AM

#5356

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Is this NBA? Why do you need a 250+ to do anything on DK.

Had a 180ish with couple players in this CIN/SD game which is my highest ever and not even close hah

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08-11-2015 , 01:14 AM

#5357

kingkang27

centurion

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 161

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

Is this NBA? Why do you need a 250+ to do anything on DK.

Had a 180ish with couple players in this CIN/SD game which is my highest ever and not even close hah

Just a night when the chalk stack went bonkers and pitcher 50% owned had CSGO. Had 190+ and had a meh night too. Oh well win's a win.

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08-11-2015 , 01:19 AM

#5358

StoppedRainingMen

Player Hater of the Year

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 53,620

Quote:

Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen

i think when you go with ian kennedy in DFS you get what you deserve

(went with kennedy. fml)

huzzah! pretty much gin lineup in the FD afterhours besides kennedy to sweep my 3 and 5 mans

more than made up for completely bricking the main slate (lol kennedy. lol FPS)

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08-11-2015 , 01:31 AM

#5359

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

collected all the free money in cash games tonight with cueto. 13/13. broke even in gpp entries. some massive scores out there

for some reason david peralta remains priced at $11 every night. lol

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08-11-2015 , 02:15 AM

#5360

jpwilkie

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 299

is there no perfect game for tomm. or am i missing something?

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08-11-2015 , 09:40 AM

#5361

dereku

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 1,216

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpwilkie

is there no perfect game for tomm. or am i missing something?

Are you a fortune teller?

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08-11-2015 , 11:46 AM

#5362

LetsGambool

banned

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 26,568

So whose optimizer hit last night given the six way tie on the top of the payoff pitch, or was it really just that chalky?

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08-11-2015 , 11:56 AM

#5363

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Quote:

Originally Posted by ballin4life

Priptonite,

Can you please stop educating people on RG and reddit comments.

Thanks

Lol sorry. I just hate people peddling their pay sites with garbage advice. Like this dude on reddit today:

Quote:

the matchup with the Yankees is better than most people realize. After a hot run they've gone completely cold and have scored the 2nd fewest runs in the L7. They've only scored 4 runs over the course of the last five games.

And obv nothing is better than sticking it to RG

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08-11-2015 , 12:55 PM

#5364

ballin4life

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 2,121

Quote:

Originally Posted by Priptonite

Lol sorry. I just hate people peddling their pay sites with garbage advice. Like this dude on reddit today:

And obv nothing is better than sticking it to RG

I'm pretty sure the "anyone who has played sports knows BvP exists" guy isn't going to come around to your point of view any time soon.

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08-11-2015 , 01:01 PM

#5365

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

I still chuckle when you guys think BvP doesn't exist when you literally post that it does in so many words every night.

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08-11-2015 , 01:05 PM

#5366

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

And it's amazing to me that all the pro-BvPers can't grasp the concept that other people can believe that it exists but also not be predictive at the same time.

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08-11-2015 , 01:05 PM

#5367

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

well, technically batter vs pitcher matters when determining batters though only to the extent that the pitcher can be categorized as "bad vs lhb" etc

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08-11-2015 , 01:08 PM

#5368

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

My point is that good hitter vs bad pitcher is BvP right? If said hitter goes 3-4 with 2HR that night and then that same good hitter goes up against that same terrible pitcher are you not using him again? I don't think people are saying oh Sterlin Castro is 2-3 vs Kershaw with a HR let me use him.

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08-11-2015 , 01:24 PM

#5369

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

I don't think people are saying oh Sterlin Castro is 2-3 vs Kershaw with a HR let me use him.

People probably aren't putting much credence into 3 ABs vs Kershaw, but this is exactly the type of thing people say.

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08-11-2015 , 02:22 PM

#5370

Brad22

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 1,963

What is a typical score to cash on fd 50/50 & tourneys?

Did a bunch of nba dfs, but never mlb, so just messed around with a freebie last night and was curious what the winning scores are.

Thanks.

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08-11-2015 , 03:06 PM

#5371

dereku

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 1,216

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brad22

What is a typical score to cash on fd 50/50 & tourneys?

Did a bunch of nba dfs, but never mlb, so just messed around with a freebie last night and was curious what the winning scores are.

Thanks.

Last night it was around 46.5 in my 5050s, but other nights it can be 25. So the real answer is it depends on the night

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08-11-2015 , 03:09 PM

#5372

TheNonPareil

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 2,035

I scored 49 and didn't cash all double ups on FD yesterday. Most notably the BIG $10.

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08-11-2015 , 06:30 PM

#5373

lebron_cramps

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 970

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brad22

What is a typical score to cash on fd 50/50 & tourneys?

Did a bunch of nba dfs, but never mlb, so just messed around with a freebie last night and was curious what the winning scores are.

Thanks.

I've got a couple hundred games in 1$ 5050's. So far its been around the 40/42 point average with the low nights being in the early mid 30's and the high nights being high 40's plus.

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08-11-2015 , 06:45 PM

#5374

SA16

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 6,972

Quote:

Originally Posted by lebron_cramps

I've got a couple hundred games in 1$ 5050's. So far its been around the 40/42 point average with the low nights being in the early mid 30's and the high nights being high 40's plus.

The average score in H2H is 33.9. I'd expect 5050 to be a bit higher than that. 34.X