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2024 Fantasy Football Thread 2024 Fantasy Football Thread

08-25-2024 , 01:07 PM
Anybody have tips for drafting in a total points format? I think I'm gonna get my free money on Drafters and put in a 100 bucks and get 100 bucks.

I'll be staying away from the guy's who we know will be missing time. I'll probably draft fewer rookie WR's. It's seems like now would be the best time to play this format since you will have less dead players.
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08-25-2024 , 01:08 PM
I took my first Akers share yesterday. I’m not sure if he has the upside, especially for end of season, but willing to take anyone to bet against Pierce.
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08-25-2024 , 01:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I took my first Akers share yesterday. I’m not sure if he has the upside, especially for end of season, but willing to take anyone to bet against Pierce.
I don’t believe in any back off Achilles tear. A bad knee I could see but I’m way off when it’s an Achilles same for jk dobbins

Last edited by Rev9; 08-25-2024 at 01:23 PM.
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08-25-2024 , 02:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rev9
I don’t believe in any back off Achilles tear. A bad knee I could see but I’m way off when it’s an Achilles same for jk dobbins
I was on Dobbins when he was going around pick 175 on UD. He's going usually in the 140 and 150's now. I wish I would have taken more. There are very few later round picks who have a legit path to becoming a league winner. I think JK is one of them. The path involves winning several legs of a parlay along the way. In the early drafting season we didn't know if he was healthy but it seems he is now so that's a win. We didn't know if he was gonna make the team but he has so that's a win. They didn't spend high draft capital on an RB or bring in another free agent so that's a win. The Chargers have significantly improved their offensive line so that's a win. None of the other backs on the roster behind him have stepped up significantly so that's a win. Right now the biggest win we are looking for is JK staying healthy. That's obviously gonna be the tough one. If he does stay healthy we are talking possibly a top ten back. He is still very young.

If you have 3 or 4 solid RB's in your room I think adding Dobbins is worth the risk. This could easily quickly go to zero but maybe not.
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08-25-2024 , 03:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rev9
I don’t believe in any back off Achilles tear. A bad knee I could see but I’m way off when it’s an Achilles same for jk dobbins
When we are building a best ball portfolio, I think it's fine to take shots at those guys chasing the ultimate upside.

Jk and Akers are free bets. If you think of it in terms of auction dollars, everyone from around the 13th/14th round and later is basically worth $1 in an auction draft. It's a bunch of dart throws you're hoping to hit on. Dobbins has one of the cleaner paths of any RB going in that range.

I have around 8% Dobbins, and mong lays out the reasons why in the post below.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
I was on Dobbins when he was going around pick 175 on UD. He's going usually in the 140 and 150's now. I wish I would have taken more. There are very few later round picks who have a legit path to becoming a league winner. I think JK is one of them. The path involves winning several legs of a parlay along the way. In the early drafting season we didn't know if he was healthy but it seems he is now so that's a win. We didn't know if he was gonna make the team but he has so that's a win. They didn't spend high draft capital on an RB or bring in another free agent so that's a win. The Chargers have significantly improved their offensive line so that's a win. None of the other backs on the roster behind him have stepped up significantly so that's a win. Right now the biggest win we are looking for is JK staying healthy. That's obviously gonna be the tough one. If he does stay healthy we are talking possibly a top ten back. He is still very young.

If you have 3 or 4 solid RB's in your room I think adding Dobbins is worth the risk. This could easily quickly go to zero but maybe not.
Pun intended? lol
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08-25-2024 , 03:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rev9
I don’t believe in any back off Achilles tear. A bad knee I could see but I’m way off when it’s an Achilles same for jk dobbins

Akers had same injury in 21. Came back in 22 and played 15 games with 786 rush yards and 7 rush TDs.

Obviously the risk is there, but so is the reward.
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08-25-2024 , 04:27 PM
With that said, I was completely out on Akers in the 7th last year. Pricing matters a lot betting on players coming off of injury.
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08-25-2024 , 04:55 PM
What adjustments should we make in draft strategy for a 10 team league vs a 12? Do elite QBs or TE go lower? Anything else?
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08-25-2024 , 06:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
What adjustments should we make in draft strategy for a 10 team league vs a 12? Do elite QBs or TE go lower? Anything else?
In 10tm i prioritize getting elite onesies a lot more than larger leagues
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08-25-2024 , 07:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
I think Malik and Akers will be the late round guys I'm heaviest on from this point forward.

Ok, which one of you jerks was this?



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08-25-2024 , 07:34 PM
I reached a little for Tank and Stroud, because I don't have much exposure to any big Texans stacks.

Rest of the draft fell pretty much in line.

From 1.12


QB - Stroud, Lawrence, Watson

RB - Zamir, Najee, Moss, Braelon, Shipley, Sanders

WR - Puka, Nico, Tank, Jeudy, Boyd, McMillan, Franklin

TE - Andrews, Kmet, Knox
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08-25-2024 , 07:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
I reached a little for Tank and Stroud, because I don't have much exposure to any big Texans stacks.

Rest of the draft fell pretty much in line.

From 1.12


QB - Stroud, Lawrence, Watson

RB - Zamir, Najee, Moss, Braelon, Shipley, Sanders

WR - Puka, Nico, Tank, Jeudy, Boyd, McMillan, Franklin

TE - Andrews, Kmet, Knox
Like this team. Think you could have gotten away with 2 qbs .
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08-25-2024 , 07:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dgoat
Like this team. Think you could have gotten away with 2 qbs .

That was the plan, but Watson fell a bit and I don't mind adding a 3rd QB with rushing upside.
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08-25-2024 , 08:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
I reached a little for Tank and Stroud, because I don't have much exposure to any big Texans stacks.

Rest of the draft fell pretty much in line.

From 1.12


QB - Stroud, Lawrence, Watson

RB - Zamir, Najee, Moss, Braelon, Shipley, Sanders

WR - Puka, Nico, Tank, Jeudy, Boyd, McMillan, Franklin

TE - Andrews, Kmet, Knox
Naked Trevor Lawrence I don’t understand that play but all in all good draft according to adp
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08-25-2024 , 08:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rev9
Naked Trevor Lawrence I don’t understand that play but all in all good draft according to adp
haha oops

I took Kirk in between Tank and Jeudy
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08-25-2024 , 08:35 PM
I just did a 10 man best ball draft where I took four ATL Falcons. I got Bijon 1.6, Drake 3.6, Pitts 7.6 and Cousins 13.6.

I am just wondering if this is at all a strategic error to stack this heavily?

I can see the logic behind a QB-WR stack and QB-RB-WR stack or any combination of those. But am I going overboard by taking the QB-RB and top two receivers on one team? Is this relying too much on one offense or is this ok for the games the offense goes off?
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08-25-2024 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MizrachiPoker
I just did a 10 man best ball draft where I took four ATL Falcons. I got Bijon 1.6, Drake 3.6, Pitts 7.6 and Cousins 13.6.

I am just wondering if this is at all a strategic error to stack this heavily?

I can see the logic behind a QB-WR stack and QB-RB-WR stack or any combination of those. But am I going overboard by taking the QB-RB and top two receivers on one team? Is this relying too much on one offense or is this ok for the games the offense goes off?
That would be overkill in DFS, but it's not terrible in BestBall since it's season long and you're hunting for spike weeks.

I wouldn't take more than 3 skill player though.
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08-25-2024 , 08:41 PM
It’s fine to stack heavy. But you have to be careful with regard to draft capital.

Those prices are pushing it, but I think it’s fine in a vacuum.

I see people do all 3 Texans WRs + Stroud or all 3 Bears WRs with Caleb. And things really have to go right for those to pay off at cost.

Same with stacking Reek/Waddle in 1st/2nd or AJB/DeVonta in 1st/3rd.

Think the most I’ve done is 4 skill positions.
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08-25-2024 , 09:17 PM
Drake looking good. Jacoby shoulder injury.

It’s happening boys.
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08-25-2024 , 09:46 PM
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08-25-2024 , 10:26 PM
2nd and final ffpc for the year

$350 managed 12 tm from the 6 spot
Ppr, 1.5 tep

Went 0 rb. Initial plan was Breece or Bijan but both went top 4. Had planned Achane in the 2nd, but Puka fell and I couldn’t pass him up there

Qb - Mahomes
Rb - Warren
Rb - Singletary
Wr - Chase
Wr - Puka
Te - Kincaid
Flex - Rice
Flex - Kirk
K - Koo
DST - LAC

Bench rb - Chandler, Wright, B Allen, Vidal, Estime

Bench wr - Odunze, AD Mitchell, Legette, QJ

Bench Te - Theo Johnson

I don’t really have any experience with these, but it seems like a good draft, thoughts?
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08-25-2024 , 10:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
2nd and final ffpc for the year

$350 managed 12 tm from the 6 spot
Ppr, 1.5 tep

Went 0 rb. Initial plan was Breece or Bijan but both went top 4. Had planned Achane in the 2nd, but Puka fell and I couldn’t pass him up there

Qb - Mahomes
Rb - Warren
Rb - Singletary
Wr - Chase
Wr - Puka
Te - Kincaid
Flex - Rice
Flex - Kirk
K - Koo
DST - LAC

Bench rb - Chandler, Wright, B Allen, Vidal, Estime

Bench wr - Odunze, AD Mitchell, Legette, QJ

Bench Te - Theo Johnson

I don’t really have any experience with these, but it seems like a good draft, thoughts?
It looks really good but I have my best ball goggles on.
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08-25-2024 , 11:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I’m looking forward to a much needed break. I cannot wait for my slows to be done. Sub 80 now, so the end is near.

I’ll probably grind some poker, but my managed leagues will give me my in-season fix. I have no interest in DFS. Too much time needed on a weekly basis to actually be +ev. The thing I like most about best ball is drafting the same slate for 4 months.
What do you need to be spending your time on in DFS to be +EV. I broke exactly even last year so obviously I was doing something wrong (Or right depending how you look at it). Do these guy's break down the games? Are they studying which DB's will be up against certain receivers etc?

I just passively listened to podcasts. Obviously this is not enough.

This will be the first time in 30 years I won't be in a managed league. I used to do several NFFC online championships and an office league. I'm actually happy not to have to deal with that anymore.
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08-25-2024 , 11:24 PM
One of those rare drafts where I take 2 QBs and 2 TEs thru the first 10 rounds so I'll need some luck at RB.

Also, 6 rookie WRs is a lot more than I'm comfortable with as well.



From 1.01


QB - Dak, Tua

RB - Javonte, Spears, Chubb, Allgeier, Shipley, Mason, Akers

WR - Lamb, Nico, Waddle, Worthy, AD, Legette, Burton, Malik, Flournoy

TE - McBride, Ferguson
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08-25-2024 , 11:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
2nd and final ffpc for the year

$350 managed 12 tm from the 6 spot
Ppr, 1.5 tep

Went 0 rb. Initial plan was Breece or Bijan but both went top 4. Had planned Achane in the 2nd, but Puka fell and I couldn’t pass him up there

Qb - Mahomes
Rb - Warren
Rb - Singletary
Wr - Chase
Wr - Puka
Te - Kincaid
Flex - Rice
Flex - Kirk
K - Koo
DST - LAC

Bench rb - Chandler, Wright, B Allen, Vidal, Estime

Bench wr - Odunze, AD Mitchell, Legette, QJ

Bench Te - Theo Johnson

I don’t really have any experience with these, but it seems like a good draft, thoughts?
Just watched a little of an ETR draft for one of these, and it sounds like the strategy is to try to get double elite TE by round 4.


They picked from 1.04 and went Bijan, Kincaid, Waddle, Kittle
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