He could certainly be playing well by the fantasy playoffs, but I just don't think the probability is in his favor haha. I also think you're underrating how important the top 10 rounds are, across the whole season. Basically every single sharp fantasy player I follow is fading both Chubb and Hock at their ADP right now.

If you're taking Chubb as your RB3 or 4 by round 9, that's more palatable. That's another reason I haven't taken much of Chubb, as there are plenty of drafts where I'm not taking my first RB until round 8 or 9. I'm just taking the guys I know will be on the field in week 1 instead.

I have picked Chubb a few times recently, but that was mid to late round 12. I have also picked Hock a few times recently, but that was mid to late round 13, and I think once in the 14th.

That's the other thing about both of those guys. I'm not sure how much volume you're putting in now, but I expect both of their ADPs to continue to fall, especially when the news is that they're both hitting PUP. So why not just draft more in a month or two when they are cheaper? You'll be trying to advance round 9 Chubb when teams you'll be facing in the finals will have him in rounds 10, 11, 12, and so on, assuming the main contest you're playing is the DK millionaire.

I think there is a 0% chance Hock is ready for week 1. Even if Chubb will be ready by week 1, I expect the Browns to at the very least put him on training camp PUP. And the market will react negatively to that news, whether correct or not.

That’s a sound strategy . I’ve almost maxed out the 3 dollar on dk . Still not sure how many of the millys I’m gonna do .

This sounds like your building a lot of teams that will be pretty weak at WR if you often already have 2 or 3rb after round 8 and then also take Chubb. I feel he's a player that should mainly be taken on zero or hero RB builds

Nah I’m usually weaker at qb . I’m going wr heavy teams this year

Ah ok I get you and have been building alot of similar teams

Look at Gardner and Fields for QBs

WRs that seem talented & might be able to leap into higher tiers than currently being evaluated for: Dontayvion Wicks, Tank Dell, Greg Dortch, Khalil Shakir, Roman Wilson

Im taking Levis and Bryce young as my qb 2 and 3 usually and I try to get Dak as my qb 1. That’s my usual 3 if I get my wish . It doesn’t always end up that way though

People also sleeping on Michael Wilson in the 15th round. He's set to be the WR2 on the Cardinals I get that he'll be behind MHJ, McBride for targets but can see him returning good value with some nice spike weeks especially if MHJ is a must double team player as projected

He rejected the deal. I started the draft with Lamar then Bijan. My 3rd pick just came up and I had the choice of:

Tua, maye, mccarthy, Goff
Gibbs, Taylor
Nabers, olave, aiyuk, waddle, London
McBride, pitts

I just traded this pick + 2025 1st + 2026 1st for his Ja’mar chase + early 11th this year in startup. I figured with this being a startup plus this year’s performance placing us in the 3 tiers being super important why not go for it this year. Thoughts on this trade?

That looks like far to much to pay to get Chase especially considering the options you had available.

You've pretty much just traded 4.5 1st's for him.

For example lets take Gibbs. Last year he scored 60pts less than Chase did on his stellar rookie season and about the same as he did the past 2 seasons and he's due to see a big uptick in volume going into his 2nd season. Chase is going to have to be the clear WR1 this year for this trade to be worth it imo.

Basically I just don't think this trade improves your chances of winning in year one that much and it weakens you for the future.