Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I was simply responding to your post taking stats out of context, which is the only reason I cited his fantasy production on the Browns in the first place. He had a career high in TDs, after all!
This is a game where you have to make decisions in a vacuum. When deciding to pickup a player like Hunt you're spending FAAB/waiver priority while dropping another player to do so. So of course we always need to consider the possibility of whether Hunt, or anyone else, can be a fantasy asset or not.
People chased Dalvin Cook and Le'Veon Bell and Leonard Fournette and whoever else. Austin Ekeler went from the RB 1 overall in 2022 to dusty vet in 2023 to backup in 2024. The RB cliff is steep and fast. This is an expected value game with trade offs. In the long run, you'll do better making decisions based on metrics and expectation. It's impossible to be 100% correct, so we chase directional accuracy. I'll be wrong plenty; everyone will. But the goal is to be right more often than not.
I agree with you regarding the process of making decisions.
The fact that he was money from inside the 5 could mean he ran good but it more likely means he is still effective in short yardage.
I may be overly optimistic about what he can do even if he gets the opportunity. If Carson Steele is good it may be a mute point. I've seen this situation too many times where I regretted not pouncing on the opportunity. I think Hunt will be cheap maybe even free to pick up since he's obviously not on peoples radar. I will assume nobody is dropping a better player.
I realize that Hunt is not the same player. I do think he is a guy Andy Reid can trust in the backfield. I think Reid would like a guy who can both run it on first or second down and be able to catch the ball. Hunts pass protection skills may be enough to get him significant snaps. I'm also big on the change of scenery/second chance narrative that could be in play here for Hunt. I'm also hearing things from Chiefs people which makes it sound more like an inevitability that he will be called up.
All that being said, maybe Hunt is fat and out of shape and is cut tomorrow.