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2024 Fantasy Football Thread 2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Today , 01:53 PM
Being willing to be wrong as long as the logic and data are there to justify a decision is 100% the most important skill in fantasy imo

In my main league I have made by far the most trades, I have won more than I’ve lost, but I’ve traded away league winners and made trades that look silly in hindsight.

I’ve also won the league 3x more than anyone else and made the finals 2x more than anyone else. Given I’m not playing with the sharpest players in the world, but the willingness to be wrong allows you to maximize edges. Most ppl are terrified of being embarrassed or making a “bad trade”
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Today , 02:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I was simply responding to your post taking stats out of context, which is the only reason I cited his fantasy production on the Browns in the first place. He had a career high in TDs, after all!

This is a game where you have to make decisions in a vacuum. When deciding to pickup a player like Hunt you're spending FAAB/waiver priority while dropping another player to do so. So of course we always need to consider the possibility of whether Hunt, or anyone else, can be a fantasy asset or not.

People chased Dalvin Cook and Le'Veon Bell and Leonard Fournette and whoever else. Austin Ekeler went from the RB 1 overall in 2022 to dusty vet in 2023 to backup in 2024. The RB cliff is steep and fast. This is an expected value game with trade offs. In the long run, you'll do better making decisions based on metrics and expectation. It's impossible to be 100% correct, so we chase directional accuracy. I'll be wrong plenty; everyone will. But the goal is to be right more often than not.
I agree with you regarding the process of making decisions.

The fact that he was money from inside the 5 could mean he ran good but it more likely means he is still effective in short yardage.

I may be overly optimistic about what he can do even if he gets the opportunity. If Carson Steele is good it may be a mute point. I've seen this situation too many times where I regretted not pouncing on the opportunity. I think Hunt will be cheap maybe even free to pick up since he's obviously not on peoples radar. I will assume nobody is dropping a better player.

I realize that Hunt is not the same player. I do think he is a guy Andy Reid can trust in the backfield. I think Reid would like a guy who can both run it on first or second down and be able to catch the ball. Hunts pass protection skills may be enough to get him significant snaps. I'm also big on the change of scenery/second chance narrative that could be in play here for Hunt. I'm also hearing things from Chiefs people which makes it sound more like an inevitability that he will be called up.

All that being said, maybe Hunt is fat and out of shape and is cut tomorrow.
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Today , 02:11 PM
Hunt is staying on the practice squad this week. Gonna be starting Steele, Akers and worthy in one leauge where I drafted AJB, deebo and KW3. Luckily went against rhamondre this week
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Today , 02:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
Being willing to be wrong as long as the logic and data are there to justify a decision is 100% the most important skill in fantasy imo

In my main league I have made by far the most trades, I have won more than I’ve lost, but I’ve traded away league winners and made trades that look silly in hindsight.

I’ve also won the league 3x more than anyone else and made the finals 2x more than anyone else. Given I’m not playing with the sharpest players in the world, but the willingness to be wrong allows you to maximize edges. Most ppl are terrified of being embarrassed or making a “bad trade”
I'm embarrassed I started Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts this week lol.
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Today , 02:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I'm embarrassed I started Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts this week lol.
I thought that game would have been close and low scoring . Lol me though . I started Rhamondre somewhere . Luckily I’m against the worst team I’ve ever seen .
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Today , 02:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I'm embarrassed I started Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts this week lol.
Check back after the falcons game. Could be negligible
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Today , 02:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Guess this new Jets RB was underrated in dynasty league drafts. He looks good.
Looked very good. I didn't even consider him much as he's breece's backup. What are you going to get out of him? Maybe a year if breece gets injured? I'd rather take someone like Tracy who has an outside chance to win the job. That's my bad logic/leak. Thought I learned my lesson when it was common to drop AJ Brown in rookie rankings because he was drafted by the Titans. Dynasty just draft for talent regardless of situation. Probably will never get through me thick skull.
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Today , 02:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by beeschnuts
Hunt is staying on the practice squad this week. Gonna be starting Steele, Akers and worthy in one leauge where I drafted AJB, deebo and KW3. Luckily went against rhamondre this week
I'm ready to load up on Akers in DFS if Mixon is out and he's starting.
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Today , 03:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
I'm embarrassed I started Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts this week lol.
You should have started Hooper.
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Today , 03:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
I'm ready to load up on Akers in DFS if Mixon is out and he's starting.
Yep!
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Today , 03:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dgoat
I thought that game would have been close and low scoring . Lol me though . I started Rhamondre somewhere . Luckily I’m against the worst team I’ve ever seen .
Jets just kept bringing the pressure and there was nothing Brissett or Maye could do.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 5 south
Check back after the falcons game. Could be negligible
Haha, you’re not wrong. But I’m guessing this will be the week he finally has a career game.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
You should have started Hooper.
Apparently. Seems like they’re just clicking buttons in NE.

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Today , 03:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
I'm ready to load up on Akers in DFS if Mixon is out and he's starting.
Mixon is listed as Doubtful so not sure exactly what sign you guys are still waiting for.

Pierce is 'Out' so unless Dare Ogunbowale scares you its probably Akers backfield for at least a week. (I will save you the trouble of looking, lets just say Dare's career YPC is not good at 3.3)
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Today , 03:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by boscoboy
Mixon is listed as Doubtful so not sure exactly what sign you guys are still waiting for.

Pierce is 'Out' so unless Dare Ogunbowale scares you its probably Akers backfield for at least a week. (I will save you the trouble of looking, lets just say Dare's career YPC is not good at 3.3)
Yeah he's like 4k on FD so pretty easy plug and play.

I'm mainly waiting to see what his ownership looks like.
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Today , 03:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
I upped my dynasty offer for Nico to:

2 1sts
1 2nd
Ridley (he’s about to be 0-3 (started mondre and is projected to lose by 40), but I feel like psychologically ppl don’t wanna tank this early so I figured if I throw in a startable player maybe it’ll push it over the edge)

I forgot how hard it is to trade in fantasy football
Does he have a history in the league of trading? You're probably right that's it too early in the season for some people to face reality. Would be fun to see his roster.
2024 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
Today , 03:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
Yeah he's like 4k on FD so pretty easy plug and play.

I'm mainly waiting to see what his ownership looks like.
At that price I think you can basically be ownership agnostic. The value is so high. Just differentiate elsewhere
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Today , 03:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 5 south
Does he have a history in the league of trading? You're probably right that's it too early in the season for some people to face reality. Would be fun to see his roster.
This is a startup and I’ve never played with him before in other leagues

His team is pretty weak, but he has some good rookie talent and he’s had some injuries
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Today , 03:55 PM
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Today , 03:57 PM
In case you think any of your leaguemates may be thinking this is a good time to "sell high" on Wilson. Timestamped:

https://youtu.be/z_shHekTUso?t=255
2024 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
Today , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
This is a startup and I’ve never played with him before in other leagues

His team is pretty weak, but he has some good rookie talent and he’s had some injuries
Yeah, this early in a startup season we all think we're contenders.
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Today , 03:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
Love that account name
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Today , 04:22 PM
Cut 1 in .5 PRR, start 2rb / 2 wr / 3 flex

najee, zack moss, ekeler, dowdle, spear, braelon allen, mclaughlin
JJ, olave, amari, kupp, london, jayden reed, brandin cooks, josh downs
ferguson, goedert

I could also cut 2 and pick up akers if I hurry. Leaning downs & mclaughlin.
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Today , 04:27 PM
I think those are the right 2.
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Today , 04:32 PM
I think McLaughlin for sure. I think downs vs cooks is close, but I may just be a cooks hater
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