I'm sure some of it was the scheme and game plan, but Winston is a chucker haha. You're right about the lack of receiving options ideally benefitting Kamara, though. But if the guy is in win-now mode and traded for the pick and needs immediate RB help, Kamara could be attractive for sure. I'm just not sure the value of exchanging the difference between Kamara and Carson for Lockett and 1.1 is enough.
https://www.canalstreetchronicles.co...-winston-at-qb
"Jameis Winston is not know for a conservative approach. Certainly not the way that Drew Brees is. Before the 2019 season, Drew Brees had targeted running backs more than any other quarterback since 2009. He went to his backfield option 27.1% of the time.
Meanwhile, Winston targeted outside receivers at the second-highest rate in that same timeframe with a whopping 43.1%. He also targeted backs only 16% of the time, 20th since ‘09."
"2019:
Alvin Kamara: 81 receptions on 95 targets (25/28 with Bridgewater)
Tampa’s Backs: 84 receptions on 103 targets (only Winston)
2018:
Alvin Kamara: 81 receptions on 98 targets (Brees)
Tampa’s Backs: 68 receptions on 84 targets (Winston/Ryan Fitzpatrick)
2017:
Alvin Kamara: 81 receptions on 96 targets (Brees)
Tampa’s Backs: 74 receptions on 97 targets (Winston/Fitzpatrick)"
As far as Davis, he really only had a couple of good games last year, and that was when he first took over for CMC. He seemed to lose steam quickly. Add in the fact that it's his 6th team in 7 seasons, and I just don't think he's much more than a journeyman that can give you a good game here or there. I certainly don't see him becoming a feature back touching it 20 times a game for a full season, especially with the disastrous Falcons. He crushed weeks 2-5 (week 2 was when CMC was injured and Davis caught it 8 times playing 32% of the snaps) averaging 22.65 in PPR. Then in weeks 6-16 he averaged 11.49 in PPR. His snap % did decrease a little bit.
I like DJM. He's a good player. And you make solid points about his prior QB history. Darnold can't be worse (or can he? haha). His lack of TD production is a bit frustrating, but he should be able to put up catches and yards. Supposedly the Panthers really want to push the ball downfield, which should benefit DJM. But I'd certainly be happy to trade DJM for Keenan if I were you.