One guy in my league runs so good. He's a good player, but damn is he lucky lol. Beat me in the championship last year by 3 points or so, when Aaron Jones took that 40 yard run to the house with like 5 mins to go in MNF.

He was up 14 last night going against Conner, Engram, and the Den defense and won by 5 lol. He had the second lowest score of the week playing against the guy with the lowest score.

Meanwhile, I was the 4th highest scorer and lost. My other buddy was the second highest scorer and lost.

Yup, I need to find another trade for my team that has Reek, Julio, ARob, Chark, Cooks, and Diontae.

Backs are Zeke, Gurley, Taylor, Akers, Moss, and Scott. I might try to see if I can package a receiver plus one of the backs not named Zeke to upgrade at RB, but that might be tough. Need to wait for some other receivers to get injured lol.

Ok guys, how much FAAB with a $100 budget would you spend if you're interested in acquiring:

Snell
M. Brown
Goedert
Valdez-Scantling
N. Hines

format?
In full PPR, probably ~40 for Hines, 30 for Snell. 20 for Brown. Somewhere between 0-10 for Goedert depending on who I have at TE. 0 on MVS.

I'd really only expect to get Hines and maybe Goedert at that price, but I'm fine letting someone else pay higher. Not willing to go higher on Snell yet until I know more about Connor's injury.

Not high on Brown, this is his peak imo. that RBBC is gonna be real frustrating if you're dropping a ton of FAAB on him now.

Agreed, Diontae looked great in the 2nd half. that early muffed punt really seemed to get to him. His 2nd half usage was super encouraging.

Who are we believing in (PPR) out of:

Gage
Corey Davis
Robby Anderson
MVS

If you had to rank that? Deep like, pondering what to do with the #3 waiver as I've lost Mack and Sutton is hurt. I think somewhere in there is probably a guy to help with byes. We've snapped up most of the RB's due to bench sizes.

Gage
Robby
Davis
MVS

would be my ranking

Gage
Robby
MVS
Davis

Murky waters these are. Not super confident about these rankings after 1 week.

I'd go Robby, Davis, Gage, then MVS assuming they would be bench guys that you were looking for upside with mostly. If you were in a situation where you had to start one right away, then I'd move Gage up.

Super dependent on format and your roster.

If you have Jonathan Taylor, would you be more, less, or equally aggressive in pursuing Hines on waivers?

Not sure if this changes things, but I also have Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb, so I'm a bit hesitant to pursue another RBBC stack even though these might be the only two where you could potentially get RB2 production out of both backs each week.

Agreed, although Gage will likely have some down games if the Falcons aren't playing from behind. Granted, they'll probably be playing from behind a lot. That defense is bad. Very bad.

I think Robby is the legit #2 receiver the for the Panther. Teddy really seems to like him. Robby will likely have the most consistency week to week. Curtis sucks. And we really don't have a TE. Ian Thomas is meh. So Robby likely the third option behind DJM and CMC.

So after writing that out, I actually would put Robby ahead of Gage.

I wouldn't put much stock into the Davis or MVS performances. I think they are both far behind Gage and Robby. Davis has fooled us before. DO. NOT. TRUST. Especially when it's clear Tenn is a run first team. Henry had 34 touches yesterday.

MVS going to be very boom or bust. I think Lazard is the second receiver to have on that offense.

Nobody on waivers is worth backing up the truck for this week. I'll throw out maybe 10-15% on Snell and that's it I think. Don't go crazy, there will be better RB spots than this in the next 3 weeks.

Also random week 1 WR performances are never a good waiver spend imo. If you absolutely must, just grab the best ones that clear waivers.

Interesting, I was planning on bidding something like 30% for Hines in PPR. RBs are Mixon/Jacobs/Bell/Swift, I see Hines as a decent fill in while Bell is hurt and potentially a solid RB2/flex for bye weeks.

Maybe I'm biased because last year there were no huge injuries? Plus I have a history of blowing all my FAAB early and regretting it so willing to be convinced otherwise.

Yep, I remember everyone jumping all over themselves to pick up Stephen Hill in 2012 when he was 5-6 for 89 and 2 TDs in week 1.

https://www.pro-football-reference.c...H/HillSt00.htm

I am on the opposite spectrum and like going for guys early -

1) if they hit you get to use them for longer

2) especially this year we had the highest level of uncertainty going into week 1.

Example: If we know Hines was going to used the way he was there is a 0% chance he goes undrafted in fantasy leagues. worth the spend especially with Mack out for the season imo

There are always good waiver adds in week 1, you just have to figure out who they are. If anything, the first week or 2 are the best time to find value, as a lot of people do have the mindset of just waiting. Once you get to the middle weeks, and especially the late weeks, it's pretty clear who the good adds are and who are not.

Hines
Snell
Brown
Gage
Anderson
Goedert

Are all good pick ups that should be able to perform.

Davis
MVS
AP
Barber
McKinnon

Probably not.

How do we feel about Gaskin?

Also, if Campbell is out there, I would put him on the list of definite adds.

What do you think is more likely to interest him in dynasty half-PPR, CMC for CEH and JT, or add in Godwin for three 1sts (one mid, two late)? Probably neither since he's been rebuilding through the draft. He has CEH, JT, Akers, Reagor, Higgins, Herbert, not much else (RoJo, Parker, Hardman), 3 2021 1sts (including mine) and 3 2nds (including mine). He does regret giving me Godwin for RoJo and Brees a couple years ago.

What do you consider backing up the truck?

There are a few players I wouldn't bat an eye at spending 25% FAAB for, specifically Hines in PPR or .5PPR. He'll likely go for more imo. I don't expect his week one production by any means to stay consistent but he's clearly got a role and Mack's injury secures him a larger share of that backfield. even blowing 50+ % of FAAB on him could easily return value if you get him in that role for 12+ weeks. He's Flex startable right now and I don't see that changing.

Brown I'm less high on. He looked by far the best back for LAR in week 1 but Akers is very likely to work his way into a larger share of that backfield. If anything i see Brown's role diminishing over time.

Snell is the wildcard. Obviously looked very good in week 1 and Connor always has injury concerns, but we don't know much about Connor's injury yet. I don't see this turning into a committee but Snell's handcuff value went way up and he could return good value if Connor is missing any time the next few weeks.

AP looked good but has same concerns that Brown does with Swift looming. He'll probably go for 1/3-1/2 what Brown will go for in FAAB and could easily return equal value. I'd bid on AP over Brown all day.

Don't think I'd bid much on Gage, Hurst eats into his targets as the season goes on imo. I'd rather bid on Scotty Miller than Gage.

Not bidding on Barber or Mckinnon.

Kelly is sneaky. got 12/33 RB carries in week 1 for LAC including the goal line work. Looked good. Will probably get next to zero targets however.

Nobody likes Goedert huh?

I'll just leave this here then.

Well I mean, if you say that...

I had resigned myself to streaming TEs like I do every year because I wasn't willing to spend 8th or lower pick on any of my targets. Spending early FAAB money on a TE just feels like a mistake,especially a TE2 on his own team. but Goedert minus Ertz would be a steal.

Even if Ertz stays with Philly Goedert has put up top 5 TE numbers since week 5 or 6 of last year. The last 3 regular season game and the 1 playoff game he's been even better. Drawing on average 10 targets a game. His last 4 games played.

9-91-1 on 12 targets
4-65-0 on 10 targets
7-73-0 on 8 targets
8-101-1 on 9 targets

4 games is a pretty small sample but it's possible the changing of the guard is happening. Ertz should have had two TDs Sun and they might have to hold Goedert back to pass block more but he looked like their best offensive weapon Sunday.

Ertz still a big risk of being a target hog though.

Goedart is owned in every league I am in so I didn't comment on him. Definitely go get him if he is available.

Hey, hey, I included Goedert in my pickup list haha.