Quote:
Originally Posted by rockstar1
Some players I'm targeting this year
Favorite late QBs: Winston and Goff...think we will see the ball in the air a lot from both teams.
Favorite late Rbs: Foreman, Ballage, Jackson...think Lamar Miller has never been loved by obrien, ballage i think will shoot up board as summer ends, and i think jackson may actually get more carries than ekeler if gordon out
Favorite later WRs: Kirk and D Westbrook...love kirk this year in new Ari offense with kyler running around back there...westbrook i think has shoot to be solid if foles can pass for a QB
would love to hear guys others are targeting
Also, how does everone feel about Carson/Penny situation? SEA may run the ball more than any team in league this year. Carson was a beast when healthy last year, but they also didnt draft Penny to sit on bench. Very tough situation where either could end up a stud or they may just end up in a split. Im leaning Carson getting the majority of carries but would love to hear what others think
Try not to think of it as targeting specific players, moreso just target value with each pick. This mindset helps you avoid the common trap of making stupid mistakes in the name of "getting your guys". That being said, happy to share some thoughts on specific player values.
Winston and Goff are fine options if you're the last one to take a starting qb, I don't mind pairing someone like them (or Ben/Rivers type) with Lamar Jackson give LJax's ceiling, or just rolling with LJax with plans to stream if it doesn't work out. This is assuming someone jumps on Murray early, or he fits this bill even moreso. QB is just beyond stupid deep this year.
There tends to be too much optimism baked into Foreman's draft position for my liking given all of his question marks. Read a quote from O'Brien the other day insinuating that Foreman was not even the number 2 back at this point, and while positive camp spin on players tends to be a dime a dozen (I'm still paying for buying into the Bills coaching staff's comments about giving CJ Spiller the ball "until he throws up", which turned out to apparently be 12-13 carries a game or something lol), negative camp quotes tend to be much more telling/accurate. Miller is among the most boring picks possible, but pretty certain to provide decent value where he is going.
Ballage has been getting hyped up a bunch in camp (and hence his ADP has seen a big bump), but Dolphins o-line/entire o seems so helpless that it is hard to set his ceiling as anything too special.
Don't see Jackson as anything special (and think Ekeler is pretty good), but he's going late enough to take a flyer on and hope things shake out in his favor.
Agree on Kirk and Dede love, have Kirk a tier ahead though.
I think Carson is one of the better values going at RB at this point. I like Penny as a player also, but see no reason why Carson won't get the lion's share of the carries. The coaching staff clearly loves him and loves establishing the run, as well as having a history of disregarding draft pedigree when it comes to personnel decisions.
Some guys besides those I mentioned that I think are currently undervalued:
Rookie rbs: Jacobs, Montgomery and Sanders all have much more upside than current ADP would indicate.
#2 WR's: Godwin (though the hype may get out of control soon), Mike Williams, Boyd (though I suppose he's a 1 for the time being, and I haven't seen how his perception has been changed by the public by the AJ news yet), Fuller, even guys a few tiers lower like Samuel, MVS/Allison, Anthony Miller, Moncrief.
Also a big fan of Parris Campbell as a late dart throw.
Mark Andrews is my go-to TE if I punt that position, also think guys like Eifert and Reed are being undervalued, but I totally understand it with them. Just think the replacement level floor is no different than any of the guys that are getting drafted around them and they have higher ceilings if they can somehow, however unlikely, remain healthy.
Some guys that come to mind that I'm fading at current prices:
RB: Gurley, Gordon, Freeman, Mack, Lindsey, Guice, Drake, Coleman/McKinnon (rather have Breida later)
WR: Edleman, Ridley, Landry, Marvin Jones, Cooper Kupp
TE: Ebron and Cook (rather have Vance or Njoku than either of those guys personally)
And all the QB's, D's and K's obv