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Originally Posted by rafiki
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1) Latest you're drafting M Gordon? Latest you're drafting Zeke? Obv it's reach-city to get the cuffs. I'm tempted to avoid, but eventually too low is too low.
2) Chubb or Conner?
3) Gurley or Mixon?
3) Am I crazy or are Aaron Jones and Kerryon Johnson's ADP's just too low? Why? I guess same with Fournette. 2.10 is just because of injury risk?
4) Are we really ever drafting Kelce there? Really?
5) Mack in the mid-4th seems like good value, right?
1. Gordon late 4th early 5th
Zeke would have to read up on some more but probably mid 2nd if things seemed positive, mid 3rd if still in limbo
2. This doesn't matter, but I prefer Conner. There's not much point in debating if you prefer these two as the outcome is so variance dependent even if you're right you could still be wrong.
3. Mixon 100%, we don't know if Gurley is healthy and even if he is, he'll certainly not get the same volume as he did in the past - we've seen peak Gurley and that's never coming back
4 you mean first round? Yes, we are. There's a huge dropoff after the first few TEs and arguably a massive one right after Kelce as well. Any RB or WR you take here instead could easily be outproduced by one you'll take in the next round or even two rounds later. It's a scarce position and his numbers aren't that far off what you'd expect from a far more common WR you'd take at this point instead
5. Mack usually didn't last that long so yeah. I personally have him 28th overall on my best ball chart. Should probably drop him to low 30s without Luck but yeah, if he's there in the 4th that's both surprising and great value