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Originally Posted by Wheatsauce
I'm not high on Haskins either, but I don't think he has to make a big jump for McLaurin to be a top 20 guy. He's gonna drown in targets and his separation is elite. Plus Redskins should be terrible, so lots of good game scripts for him. Similar stuff with Chark, don't think he is on McLaurin's level skill-wise, but Minshew is prob better than Haskins, and should be game script city with very little competition for targets.
Kupp started out on fire last season, then faded a bunch down the stretch when LA changed their O from primarily 11 to 12 personnel, not sure he can excel outside of the slot if that continues, and don't see why they would change back with Cooks gone. And yeah, I factor injury history in less than most, but he certainly carries some amount of risk there.
TY is kinda the anti-Chark. More talented, but the Colts team should be solid and reliant mostly on their D and run game. Also I think they have a decent amount of targets, especially given Rivers love for TE's (Doyle seems underrated to me), dumpoffs to RB's, and guys like Pittman and Campbell who could surprise some people imo. Also some chance Rivers is just toast at this point, and I don't think he's ever had much success with a guy that profiles like TY. Building that rapport with a limited offseason might be problematic as well.
Not too sure what to make of the Texans passing game, but given how high Watson is going, I do think that at least one of Cooks/Fuller should be going higher...I'm just not sure which one.
Thanks for the thoughts. I won’t disagree on McLaurin and Chark having the potential, and whether I target them will depend on their ADPs. It’s tough to factor ADP into rankings at this point, and I honestly haven’t really looked at ADP to this point since the sample is still relatively small. I think McLaurin will be more value at his ADP than Chark at his ADP.
I’m not sure I’d agree that Kupp faded a bunch down the stretch. He caught a TD in each of the last 5 games. Sure, he was never going to keep pace over those first 5 games, he still produced solidly. I still think he’s a top 10 fantasy WR. He also had a solid catch percentage at 70%.
Fair enough on T.Y. Rivers could be toast. Mack, Hines and Taylor could dominate along with Doyle, etc. But I also think he has potential to go 80, 1,200 and 8.
Good point on the limited offseason, though. This might have to be a relatively big factor with guys on new teams.
Which takes me to Fuller and Cooks. In theory, Fuller probably has a leg up on Cooks all things being equal. But I’d much rather have Cooks, who has only missed 2 games over the last 5 seasons. Fuller has gone 14, 10, 7, and 11 in his four seasons.
Regarding ARob, I think that Bears offense is a mess. Foles isn’t even the guaranteed starter over Mitch, and that’s saying something lol. And I’d just rather stay away. Probably a leak, but given his expected ADP, there will be other guys there I’d rather have.