Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
yes, i'm accounting for the 12 games, i also think it's unfair to extrapolate like how you did. You both rounded up and used an average despite that the overwhelming amount of his production was concentrated in a handful of games. He only eclipsed 100 rushing yards 3 times. He had more games of >50 than those with. Likewise, with receiving, he only had 5 games of 5 or more targets and the
before any of the news broke I had him as RB6 between DJ and Bell, he has a much, much harder schedule than DJ and Bell and shouldn't have his dominant lead back
most of his production came from his insane amount of touches and the Chargers went 4-0 in the games he missed - further giving them little incentive to believe he makes that big an impact on the team
even if he gets signed today and makes peace, he's probably going to be in that same spot or even worse now because it's evident the chargers firmly believe in their other RBs. He often got 85% of the touches last year, no chance of that happening this year. He's going to be good but nothing amazing because he's not going to get nearly the volume he did last year and you can't bank on him randomly having 2-3 amazing games to inflate his stats again
There are a lot of assumptions here, especially in that third paragraph. Also, I rounded up by 17 yards and 1/3rd of a TD so lol at that comment. I actually rounded down by slightly more than 1 reception! A lot of fantasy production for most guys comes from a few games. Rarely are there guys hitting their average on a week to week basis. At the end of the day, 16 games is a small sample.
He gets the Raiders twice, the Chiefs twice, the Broncos twice, the Dolphins, the Lions, and the Titans. All of which either had a suspect defense, a bad team overall, or both last season. Sure, he has to play the Bears, Texans and Jags, but the Chargers will be one of the best overall teams in the league. Especially compared to the Jets and Cardinals. Not to mention, as we’ve all learned, comparing team unit performance year to year can be a futile exercise.
While he only had >100 rushing yards in 3 of 12 games, still 25%, he had 7 of 12 games over 100 yards total. He scored at least 1 TD in 9 of 12 games total. So if a handful means >50%, I’ve been using that term wrong.
I just don’t see what evidence you have that the Chargers would prefer to put Ekeler and Jackson out there over Gordon. Those guys played because they had to. Gordon is the back, especially if he gets a new contract.
If Gordon was guaranteed to be there week 1, there is no question he’s above DJ and Bell.
It’s also funny how high you are on DJ given what he was last year. Sure, the Cardinals have a new coach and a new QB, but there really is no evidence that DJ is going to be this monster that a lot on here believe. What else did the Cardinals improve? I still think he will be much closer to last year than 2016. And last year still wasn’t that bad for DJ, but Gordon is in a much better situation. I just don’t see DJ being the 5th best back, which is where he’s being drafted. DJ only went over 100 yards rushing once in 16 games and over 100 yards total in 5 of 16 games. He scored at least one TD in 8 games. Gordon did more in 12 than DJ did in 16.
But we can argue in circles all day long. Good luck.
Last edited by tarheels2222; 08-24-2019 at 10:48 AM.