Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
I think people ITT underrate how much 6 pt throwing TDs helps the Godgers, Brady & Brees.
Aaron Rodgers led the league averaging 2.5 TD passes per game. There were like 40+ guys who averaged 1 or more, & the top 15 each averaged at least 1.5.
So with Rodgers you basically got 2 more TD points per game over a replacement level guy in 6 point v. 4 point.
Would have to think more about the context to determine if that's significant or not.
In 2015, though, Rodgers averaged 1.94 passing TDs per game...tied with Ryan Fitzpatrick for 10th.
Brees has been 6th, T7 & 4th the last three years.
Last year in 6 point TD leagues, Rodgers averaged between 6.5 & 9 points more per game than a bunch of guys you wouldn't really need to draft in standard leagues...Cousins, Dak, Rivers, Bortles, Winston, Mariota, etc.
So the question is, would a player you picked up where you took Rodgers get you 9 points more than replacement value, & the answer is almost certainly no... but the year before he finished 11th, despite playing every game, & picking him early killed seasons.
The year before that (2014) he was 1st, but only 5 points above replacement level. The year before that (2013) he was 4th & about 2 points above replacement level.
I don't really have a point, just putting some #s out there. If you're assured of a repeat of last year, he's an easy early pick, but assuming similar results is dangerous.